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In the next year, to what extent will the Chinese Government reimburse its citizen-investors in the now defunct ant farming business?

Current forecast: Not at all (82% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Not at all with a probability of 82% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by CNN.com.

 
Forecast history, %
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Not at all
82%
less than 10%
6%
10%-25%
5%
25%-50%
4%
50%-75%
1%
75%-100%
1%
Activity: H$11,619
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Not at all: 30%, less than 10%: 25%, 10%-25%: 20%, 25%-50%: 15%, 50%-75%: 5%, 75%-100%: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 23rd Feb 2008 4:58pm PST by theonecalledmichael
Edited Sun 24th Feb 2008 2:11pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:42pm PST by andrew

Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (26)

26 predictions

1 week ago
fellcolor predicted Not at all (H$2,150 at 71%)
1 week ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Not at all (H$750 at 51%)
9 weeks ago
davecade predicted 25%-50% (H$50 at 13%)
13 weeks ago
madbuns predicted Not at all (H$20 at 69%)
32 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Not at all (H$50 at 40%)

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