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In the next year, to what extent will the Chinese Government reimburse its citizen-investors in the now defunct ant farming business?

Forecast: Not at all (49% chance 6% )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Not at all with a probability of 49% (down 6% in last 1 day)

http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/world/asia_pacific/chinese+ant+farmers+left+with+crumbs/1631247

 
% chance over time
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Not at all
49%
less than 10%
18%
10%-25%
15%
25%-50%
11%
50%-75%
4%
75%-100%
4%
Total activity: H$2,512
Question suspends in 40 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by CNN.com.

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 2009 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by CNN.com.
  • Initial likelihoods: Not at all: 30%, less than 10%: 25%, 10%-25%: 20%, 25%-50%: 15%, 50%-75%: 5%, 75%-100%: 5%
Created Sat 23rd Feb 4:58pm PST by theonecalledmichael
Edited Sun 24th Feb 2:11pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:42pm PST by andrew[Admin]
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Six dead, 13 injured after plant fire in eastern China


A fire at a factory in eastern China left six people dead and 13 injured Wednesday, the official Xinhua News Agency said. The blaze broke out at...
Page: 1

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In the next year, to what extent will the Chinese Government reimburse its citizen-investors in the now defunct ant farming business?
Not at all
less than 10%
10%-25%
25%-50%
50%-75%
75%-100%
2 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted Not at all (H$100)
12 weeks ago
No user imagefellcolor predicted Not at all (H$100)