Created Sat 1st Mar 2008 4:19am PST by infernalmachine

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In what month will the top 5 on the net worth leaderboard first have H$500,000 or more each?

Settlement details: As reported by the Hubdub leaderboard (net worth). Times/dates are according to PST (important at the boundary of months). Settle just after midnight June 1 (PST) -- 6 hours after suspend time -- if it's not already decided/settled by circumstances.

In what month will the top 5 on the net worth leaderboard first have H$500,000 or more each?

    March

    April

    May

    June or later (or never)

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	March	0%
	April	0%
	May	100%
	June or later (or never)	0%

Activity: H$72,578

Settled as May on Thu 8th May 2008 12:36am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 7pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 8th May 2008 12:36am PDT

Initial likelihoods: March: 20%, April: 30%, May: 30%, June or later (or never): 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 1st Mar 2008 4:19am PST by infernalmachine

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:40pm PST by tomg

Edited Thu 13th Mar 2008 4:35pm PDT by lesley

Settlement requested Wed 7th May 2008 10:31pm PDT by epicur: Please settle as "May." The top 5 on the net worth leaderboard first have H$500,000 or more each.

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?sort=alltime&cat=all&who=all

Thanks.

Settled as 'May' Thu 8th May 2008 12:36am PDT by nigeleccles

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Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 7pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 8th May 2008 12:36am PDT
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Predictions (243)

243 predictions

35 weeks ago

navkumar predicted June or later (or never) (H$100 at 2%)

36 weeks ago

onedave predicted June or later (or never) (H$1 at 7%)

36 weeks ago

bostongraf predicted May (H$1,000 at 66%)

37 weeks ago

triathematician predicted May (H$100 at 28%)

37 weeks ago

onedave predicted May (H$1 at 26%)

more

35 weeks ago

navkumar predicted June or later (or never) (H$100 at 2%)

36 weeks ago

onedave predicted June or later (or never) (H$1 at 7%)

36 weeks ago

bostongraf predicted May (H$1,000 at 66%)

37 weeks ago

triathematician predicted May (H$100 at 28%)

37 weeks ago

onedave predicted May (H$1 at 26%)

37 weeks ago

epicur predicted May (H$100 at 25%)

37 weeks ago

onedave predicted June or later (or never) (H$1 at 51%)

37 weeks ago

triathematician predicted May (H$100 at 45%)

37 weeks ago

jenniandboys predicted May (H$200 at 41%)

37 weeks ago

triathematician predicted May (H$100 at 37%)

37 weeks ago

epicur predicted May (H$1,000 at 29%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (4)

  1 pics4d

i think the title needs another 0

posted 44 weeks ago

  2 kruijs

Wondering about the news article listet to this question: "O" .... §)

posted 44 weeks ago

  3 anaverageamerican

I'm a little concerned that this is an in-play questions. The suspend date is near the end of the time periods listed as choices. I don't believe InfernalMachine intends to game this question, but I think it should suspend by the middle March. Otherwise, users can wait and get in after some of the choices are no longer viable.

posted 43 weeks ago

  4 junkie_1

I have a whole 33% of my worth on June or never

posted 37 weeks ago

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