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In which region will Sinistra l'Arcobaleno have the highest percentage in Italian election on April 13rd-14th?

Settled as Toscana

Regions = Senate elections only! if the percentage is equal beetween two region, will win the region that comes first in alphabetical order


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Toscana
92%
Emilia-Romagna
6%
Umbria
0%
Lazio
0%
Puglia
0%
Piemonte
0%
Lombardia
0%
Sicilia
0%
Sardegna
0%
Other region
0%
Activity: H$10,307
Settled as Toscana on Tue 15th Apr 8:59am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 8:59am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Toscana: 10%, Emilia-Romagna: 10%, Umbria: 10%, Lazio: 10%, Puglia: 10%, Piemonte: 10%, Lombardia: 11%, Sicilia: 10%, Sardegna: 10%, Other region: 9%

Action history:

Created Wed 19th Mar 9:52am PDT by italiadeicalori
Edited Thu 20th Mar 12:27pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Fri 21st Mar 9:05am PDT by lesley[Admin]
Edited Fri 21st Mar 9:06am PDT by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Sun 13th Apr 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 15th Apr 6:32am PDT by italiadeicalori: www.corriere.it and inside the site you will see that the higher percentage is in toscana with 5,1 % other regions less than 4%
Settled as 'Toscana' Tue 15th Apr 8:59am PDT by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 8:59am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (6)

6 predictions

33 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Emilia-Romagna (H$162 at 2%)
33 weeks ago
italiadeicalori predicted Toscana (H$10,000 at 67%)
36 weeks ago
myunion predicted Lombardia (H$20 at 11%)

Comments (3)

  1 randburg
Why doesn't italiadeicalori bet more on their own question?

If you would like the rest of us to bet with you, could you give us a bit of history on this election? Where is Sinistra l'Arcobaleno traditionally strongest? Do you anticipate any surprises in this election? At the moment, very few of us know anything about this prediction market, but we would enjoy learning...
posted 33 weeks ago
Hello, Sinistra Arcobaleno is a New Left-wing Party that runs on elections for the first time. it's impossible to make any prevision. Only Luck will hep us. Good Bet :)
posted 33 weeks ago
  3 randburg
In bocca al' lupo!
posted 33 weeks ago

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