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Is Angelina Jolie pregnant ?

Settled as No

Angelina's pregnancy has not yet been officially confirmed, as of the settlement date of the question, so this question has been settled as a 'no'.

Background:

Settlement details:As confirmed or denied by her or Brad Pitts rep .

 
Forecast history %
Yes
18%
No
82%
Settled as No on Fri 15th Feb 2008 3:44am PST

Suspend date: Thu 14th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 15th Feb 2008 3:44am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 14th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 2008 5:23pm PST by gossipgirl15
Suspended Thu 14th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 15th Feb 2008 3:31am PST by orlin: There is no any confirmation, so the settlement should be "NO"
Settled as 'No' Fri 15th Feb 2008 3:44am PST by tisha[Admin]: Angelina's pregnancy has not yet been officially confirmed, as of the settlement date of the question, so this question has been settled as a 'no'.

Suspend date: Thu 14th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 15th Feb 2008 3:44am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 14th Feb 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (195)

1 year ago
jbolli predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
1 year ago
jbolli predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
1 year ago
jbolli predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
1 year ago
jbolli predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
1 year ago
jbolli predicted No (H$100 at 81%)

Comments (12)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
What if "As confirmed or denied by her or Brad Pitts rep." does not happen at all?
a) Her pregnancy might be never explicitly confirmed.
b) It is confirmed by a spokesman or representatives.
posted 2 years ago
  2 zaphod
Settlement rules: As confirmed or denied by her or Brad Pitts rep .

This means that if none of the above confirms her pregnancy by tomorrow, the correct answer is no...
posted 1 year ago
  3 mozrules
The only question I see above is "Is Angelina Jolie pregnant?" with no further clarifications. So, seems to me if nothing is said to confirm one way or the other before the settlement date, this question should then be voided? We could find out the next day she is pregnant.
posted 1 year ago
  4 zaphod
In my opinion the settlement rules are part of the question.
Therefore the question is if either she, her husband or a representative will confirm pregnancy by tomorrow.
posted 1 year ago
  5 mozrules
"Therefore the question is if either she, her husband or a representative will confirm pregnancy by tomorrow." Actually, that's not what the settlement rules say. The settlement rules only list TWO options for making the determination: "her" or "Brad Pitt's rep". Does not include Angelina's representative or Brad Pitt himself confirming or denying.


Interesting. Because I think if the question had been presented with the settlement rules as: "Will Angeline Jolie's pregnancy be confirmed or denied by her or Brad Pitts rep before before February 15, 2008" then the percentage of Yes/No predictions would be very different. For example, if she is pregnant, and Angelina's own rep confirms it or Brad Pitt himself anounces it, then the answer will be settled as "No" since the settlement rules limit the confirmation or denial to her or Brad Pitt's rep?

Kinda defeats the purpose of the question. And I am thinking I need to cash out if it's going to be that restrictive.
posted 1 year ago
  6 owl1
Me too, although I can't understand why I got 79H for 100H wagered at 56.50% I think that was figured wrong, but I couldn.t wait any longer for it to correct. I'll just have to weigh if the questions are too restrictive when they seem obvious at first glance.
posted 1 year ago
  7 txlatina
I think I need to quit posting to these vague ass questions these questions should be better monitored for clarity in order to squash all this mendacity. It's ridiculous to even attempt to try to guess all these "possible" outcomes. Someone needs to better determine the quality of the questions or just make them yes or no. This isn't the first quesion I have seen on the boards that has had this kind of questionable bs surrounding it. Not that my bet was huge...but it takes the fun out of wanting to participate all together unless the question is from one of the more reputable posters.
posted 1 year ago
she may be pregnant...there is no end date specified in the question
posted 1 year ago
http://www.transworldnews.com/NewsStory.aspx?id=36789&cat=2

Entertainment News

Angelina Jolie Takes Maternity Leave

Atlanta, GA 2/16/2008 10:56 PM GMT (FINDITT)





Angelina Jolie has confirmed reports that she is pregnant after requesting a maternity leave from her promotional duties. Jolie first sparked rumors that she and her partner Brad Pitt were expecting another child after she appeared at the SAG Awards wearing a maternity style gown.

Jolie has reportedly told producers and event organizers for her two new films, The Changeling and Kung Fu Panda, that she will be taking a maternity leave throughout the summer.



The couple already have one biological daughter and three adopted children. Sources claim the actress is pregnant with twins.



To view more stories and news related to Entertainment please go to:

http://news.finditt.com/NewsList.aspx?cat=2&wcat=6



befound@finditt.com
posted 1 year ago
  11 brent
I DISAGREE WITH THE RESULT. SHE MAY BE PREGNANT. THIS QUESTION SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN SETTLED YET.
posted 1 year ago
  12 lesley[Admin]
Brent, yes she might be pregnant, but it wasn't officially confirmed by the suspend date. The settlement details are part of the question, but perhaps might need to be put in a more prominent position on the question page.

If anyone sees any of the ambiguous questions, then flag them right away and the Hubdub team will look into editing or voiding them.
posted 1 year ago

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