Created Wed 27th Feb 2008 7:54pm PST by 
gradgrind
All questions » Politics » gradgrind Is the American voting public a glutton for punishment?
Voided
The market has no clear question which can be objectively settled. The only possible question being asked is if McCain will become the President. That would make this a duplicate. Also if that is not the question being asked then this is to confusing to be betted on.
Background:
Recent stories have indicated that John McCain would beat or be in a statistical dead heat with the current possible Democratic candidates. http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-poll27feb27,1,1824990.story Moreover, the American public has repeatedly indicated in polls that they believe the Iraq War to have been a mistake and that they want the troops to be brought home. John McCain has said both that he is willing to stay in Iraq for 1,000 years and that voting for a Democratic candidate is tantamount to surrendering to al Qaeda (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gwqEneBKUs). Essentially, this question is asking if the American public will give in to the politics of fear by voting against the candidates who appear to support their position.
Settlement details:
To be settled as yes if John McCain wins the 2008 Presidential election.
Suspend date: None
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%
Action history:
Created Wed 27th Feb 2008 7:54pm PST by gradgrind
gradgrind
Voided Thu 28th Feb 2008 8:10am PST by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: The market has no clear question which can be objectively settled. The only possible question being asked is if McCain will become the President. That would make this a duplicate. Also if that is not the question being asked then this is to confusing to be betted on.
ryanj: The market has no clear question which can be objectively settled. The only possible question being asked is if McCain will become the President. That would make this a duplicate. Also if that is not the question being asked then this is to confusing to be betted on.
Suspend date: None
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Get widget!Predictions (6)
6 predictions
predicted Yes (H$100 at 70%)Comments (6)
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