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MLB: What will be the total number of runs scored for all games played on April 14, 2008?

Settled as 86-95

Odds were calculated on games played 4/2 - 4/11 2008. Low runs scored were 66. High runs scored were 155. Mid range figure is 110.5. The 15 highest scoring games in my sample produced 247 runs. The 15 lowest scoring games in my sample produced only 36 runs.

The number of games scheduled, weather conditions and pitching matchups all factor in here. You will have to do your stats homework to get this right. Good luck.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

75 total runs or less
24%
76-85
36%
86-95
20%
96-105
16%
106-115
2%
116-125
1%
126-135
1%
136-145
0%
146-155
0%
156 total runs or more
0%
Activity: H$7,951
Settled as 86-95 on Tue 15th Apr 2:16am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 14th Apr 5pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 2:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 14th Apr 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 75 total runs or less: 2%, 76-85 : 5%, 86-95: 10%, 96-105: 15%, 106-115: 19%, 116-125: 17%, 126-135: 15%, 136-145: 10%, 146-155: 5%, 156 total runs or more: 2%

Action history:

Created Sat 12th Apr 11:23am PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Mon 14th Apr 5pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 14th Apr 11:05pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]: correct prediction is "86-95"
91 total runs were scored.
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/scoreboard;_ylt=Ao_dZmBtYrhCh6BpH4VXDgcRvLYF
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/scoreboard
Settled as '86-95' Tue 15th Apr 2:16am PDT by dejman

Suspend date: Mon 14th Apr 5pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 15th Apr 2:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 14th Apr 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (63)

63 predictions

33 weeks ago
maniac44 predicted 96-105 (H$100 at 15%)
33 weeks ago
epicur predicted 86-95 (H$45 at 17%)
33 weeks ago
epicur predicted 76-85 (H$100 at 36%)
33 weeks ago
epicur predicted 75 total runs or less (H$100 at 36%)
33 weeks ago
epicur predicted 86-95 (H$45 at 16%)
more

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