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MLB: What will be the total number of runs scored for all games played on April 15, 2008?

Settled as 136-145

HAPPY TAX DAY!

Odds were calculated on games played 4/2 - 4/11 2008. Low runs scored were 66. High runs scored were 155. Mid range figure is 110.5. The 15 highest scoring games in my sample produced 247 runs. The 15 lowest scoring games in my sample produced only 36 runs.

The number of games scheduled, weather conditions and pitching matchups all factor in here. You will have to do your stats homework to get this right. Good luck.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.Also, if a game goes into extra innings and finishes after midnight those runs are included in the final outcome.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

75 total runs or less
2%
76-85
2%
86-95
7%
96-105
9%
106-115
19%
116-125
15%
126-135
21%
136-145
16%
146-155
8%
156 total runs or more
2%
Activity: H$3,189
Settled as 136-145 on Wed 16th Apr 5:45am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 15th Apr 3pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 16th Apr 5:45am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 15th Apr 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 75 total runs or less: 2%, 76-85 : 5%, 86-95: 10%, 96-105: 15%, 106-115: 19%, 116-125: 17%, 126-135: 15%, 136-145: 10%, 146-155: 5%, 156 total runs or more: 2%

Action history:

Created Sat 12th Apr 2:11pm PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Tue 15th Apr 3pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 15th Apr 10:49pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]: correct prediction: 136-145
141 total runs were scored on April 15.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/scoreboard
Settled as '136-145' Wed 16th Apr 5:45am PDT by donal

Suspend date: Tue 15th Apr 3pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 16th Apr 5:45am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 15th Apr 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (51)

51 predictions

33 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted 106-115 (H$200 at 16%)
33 weeks ago
morgie predicted 136-145 (H$20 at 17%)
33 weeks ago
morgie predicted 116-125 (H$50 at 16%)
33 weeks ago
morgie predicted 126-135 (H$20 at 25%)
33 weeks ago
l_one predicted 116-125 (H$68 at 14%)
more

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