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MLB: What will be the total number of runs scored for all games played on April 16, 2008?

Settled as 146-155

Odds were calculated on games played 4/2 - 4/11 2008. Low runs scored were 66. High runs scored were 155. Mid range figure is 110.5. The 15 highest scoring games in my sample produced 247 runs. The 15 lowest scoring games in my sample produced only 36 runs.

The number of games scheduled, weather conditions and pitching matchups all factor in here. You will have to do your stats homework to get this right. Good luck


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Also, extra inning games which conclude after midnight are included in the outcome. The runs count.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

75 total runs or less
0%
76-85
1%
86-95
1%
96-105
3%
106-115
9%
116-125
25%
126-135
23%
136-145
25%
146-155
11%
156 total runs or more
1%
Activity: H$5,849
Settled as 146-155 on Thu 17th Apr 7:58am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 5:30pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 17th Apr 7:58am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 16th Apr 5:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 75 total runs or less: 2%, 76-85 : 5%, 86-95: 10%, 96-105: 15%, 106-115: 19%, 116-125: 17%, 126-135: 15%, 136-145: 10%, 146-155: 5%, 156 total runs or more: 2%

Action history:

Created Sat 12th Apr 2:21pm PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Wed 16th Apr 5:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 16th Apr 10:35pm PDT by sdchargers[Power User]: correct prediction:
146-155

148 total runs were scored on April 16.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/scoreboard
Settled as '146-155' Thu 17th Apr 7:58am PDT by donal

Suspend date: Wed 16th Apr 5:30pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 17th Apr 7:58am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 16th Apr 5:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (46)

46 predictions

32 weeks ago
epicur predicted 126-135 (H$20 at 23%)
32 weeks ago
drfalcons predicted 146-155 (H$200 at 9%)
32 weeks ago
drfalcons predicted 136-145 (H$200 at 14%)
32 weeks ago
drfalcons predicted 126-135 (H$300 at 27%)
32 weeks ago
drfalcons predicted 116-125 (H$350 at 33%)
more

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