Created Sun 27th Apr 2008 7:52am PST by

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,799,555)

WORLD INTERNET USERS - Which region will lead as world's largest Internet market at end 2008?

Settled as Asia

http://news.zdnet.co.uk/internet/0,1000000097,39603597,00.htm

Background:

Background: http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/145108/china_tops_us_for_internet_population_lead.html

Settlement Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Clarification: The numbers used will the latest released for 2008 at the settlement source (this is likely to be some short time after the end of the year)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or reported here: http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Forecast history %

Asia

94%

Europe

North America

Latin America/Carribean

Africa

Middle East

Oceania/Australia

Other

Settled as Asia on Mon 9th Feb 2009 10:23am PST

Activity: H$32,725
Predictions: 93
Comments: 6

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Feb 2009 10:23am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Asia: 40%, Europe: 25%, North America: 15%, Latin America/Carribean: 10%, Africa: 4%, Middle East: 3%, Oceania/Australia: 2%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 27th Apr 2008 7:52am PST by

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,799,555)

Settlement requested Tue 9th Sep 2008 3:04pm PST by

dragonfangxl Level 1, Newbie (H$806)

: The website provided has already released numbers. http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 3rd Jan 2009 11:51am PST by

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

: Can this be settled?

Settlement requested Wed 7th Jan 2009 11:51am PST by

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

: Asia won

Clarified Thu 8th Jan 2009 1:06am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: Stats provided are for June 2008 rather than the end of 2008. We will give this another couple of weeks to see if they provide year end stats.

Settlement requested Tue 27th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST by

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

: Just checkin in. How's it going?

Settlement requested Sun 8th Feb 2009 7:22am PST by

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

: You can finally settle this. Asia won.
http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=2698

Settlement requested Mon 9th Feb 2009 6:44am PST by

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

: If the above press release isn't good enough, then this should qualify as a "major mainstream news source", certainly in the internet area.
http://news.zdnet.co.uk/internet/0,1000000097,39603597,00.htm

Settled as 'Asia' Mon 9th Feb 2009 10:23am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: http://news.zdnet.co.uk/internet/0,1000000097,39603597,00.htm

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Predictions (93)

1 year ago

pascal_charest Level 10, Genius (H$13,030)

predicted Asia (H$424 at 94%)

1 year ago

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

predicted Asia (H$1,500 at 93%)

1 year ago

bunanava Level 1, Newbie (H$1,020)

predicted Asia (H$20 at 86%)

1 year ago

pythonhacker Level 5, Predictor (H$1,423)

predicted Asia (H$200 at 83%)

1 year ago

pascal_charest Level 10, Genius (H$13,030)

predicted Asia (H$100 at 82%)

Comments (6)

robmar Level 14, Prophet (H$248,627)

Interesting question, but we need some kind of cutoff time (by the end of May? 2008? 2025? 3000?).

posted 1 year ago

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,799,555)

@robmar - you're right, I forgot to mention that in the background details. It settles at suspension, and the new figures will be published at http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm soon after that.

posted 1 year ago

robmar Level 14, Prophet (H$248,627)

Excellent. That's what I would've guessed but I figured we would want to have that in writing somewhere.

posted 1 year ago

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

It should be highest penetration percentage. Otherwise it will always be China now that they've hit the lead.

posted 1 year ago

nigeleccles [Admin]

Still no update...

posted 1 year ago

drzinternet Level 16, Oracle (H$764,752)

Luckily I don't have a large amount tied up here, but there should be some time limit at which H$ is returned, based upon the current % until it settles.

posted 1 year ago

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