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What Will happen to Chief Officer of Iraqi ship accused of damaging undersea internet cables?

Current forecast: Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. (49% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. with a probability of 49% (unchanged in last 1 day)

United Arab Emirates has impounded two ships accused of damaging undersea internet cables earlier in 2008. The Korean vessel has been released after $60,000 in damages were paid. The Iraqi Captain of the Iraqi vessel was not on board when seized by U.A.E. Coast guard. The Indian Chief Officer has been arrested and $350,000 in damages is being sought as the ship remains impounded.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid.
49%
Conviction of any crime by UAE.
30%
Released to, and held by, any agency or government foreign to UAE.
21%
Activity: H$2,240
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid.: 50%, Conviction of any crime by UAE.: 30%, Released to, and held by, any agency or government foreign to UAE.: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Apr 1:53am PDT by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (16)

16 predictions

25 weeks ago
swilson[Power User] predicted Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. (H$200 at 47%)
31 weeks ago
monkiss predicted Conviction of any crime by UAE. (H$20 at 27%)
31 weeks ago
ladylara predicted Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. (H$50 at 53%)
31 weeks ago
steph predicted Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. (H$100 at 52%)
31 weeks ago
jjmurray predicted Charges dropped, and freed upon any damages being paid. (H$100 at 50%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 markov
This is very interesting. Was the Korean vessel North or South Korean? This whole deal wherein several (more than indicated in the question) undersea internet cables were cut within two weeks reeks of conspiracy. It all seems to have been shoveled under the rug. I'm wondering if it is because the West (America/Europe) doesn't want the world to know how vulnerable the global arteries of the internet truly are, if they (USA) facilitated it themselves to see what would happen to Iran's command and control in a prelude to an attack (my personal preference), if Iran or Al Qaeda did it to bring down the internet and failed and then lost the balls to admit to it, or if I just won the lottery while sipping highly questionable, and no doubt vindictive, beer over my senseless musings. Perhaps tomorrow will tell.
posted 31 weeks ago
"Conviction of any crime by UAE."

yikes.
posted 31 weeks ago
  5 swilson[Power User]
I've spent the better part of the morning looking for an update to this market and can not find anything beyond April 15th. There's no indication of whether the MV Hounslow was ever released by the UAE Coast Guard, what happened to the two crew members, or whether they ever followed up with the missing captain.

There's no available record of the MV Hounslow or who it's owner is. There's no news or update on the cable owner's corporate site either.

To the best of my abilities, (I'm no sailor but I used the reported size of the anchor to determine rough size of the ship) here's a picture of a ship around the same size (http://www.shipphotos.co.uk/pages/mscariane.htm). Now, why was a ship of this size sailing into the Dubai gulf with only two crew members, and no captain, on board?

I'm doubting a conspiracy but I do believe this story is supposed to be dead.

With no settlement date, I'm interested to follow up on this one in a month or two and see if anything pops up.
posted 14 weeks ago
  6 mork[Power User]
Thanks for trying to investigate this Swilson. Since making this question I occasionally try to research this. It's definately hard to find info on these ships.

One thing I found is this article: http://www.gsm-3gworldseries.com/newt/l/gsm/article_view.html?artid=20017523798 It contradicts articles as to which ship is Korean and which is Iraqi.

I am not sure if the ship in question is the MV Hounslow or the MV Ann.

This question may prove difficult to settle but I hope it can remain open. These ships are pretty big, they should pop up somewhere eventually. As to the status of the officer of the Iraqi ship; hopefully time will tell.
posted 10 weeks ago
  7 mork[Power User]
http://www.shiptalk.com/index.asp?ItemID=3268&rcid=230&pcid=178&cid=230
Indian chief officer, Shifam Kablash, and a Syrian chief engineer, Osman Abdul Gadir
posted 8 weeks ago

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