Created Sun 3rd Feb 2008 9:24pm PST by

jtwilkins Level 7, Pro (H$4,952)

All questions » Business » Deals »

What is the fate of Yahoo after Microsoft's recent takeover offer?

Settled as Deal with Google

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004473230_webyahoo12.html

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Announced by Yahoo and/or there future partner.

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

Deal with or Hostile Takeover by Microsoft

55%

Deal with Google

13%

Deal with Rupert Murdoch / News Corp

Deal with Apple

Deal with unnamed media company

12%

Deal with unnamed telecommunications company

10%

Activity: H$79,089

Settled as Deal with Google on Mon 16th Jun 2008 9am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 16th Jun 2008 9am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Deal with or Hostile Takeover by Microsoft: 65%, Deal with Google: 15%, Deal with Rupert Murdoch / News Corp: 5%, Deal with Apple: 5%, Deal with unnamed media company: 5%, Deal with unnamed telecommunications company: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 3rd Feb 2008 9:24pm PST by

jtwilkins Level 7, Pro (H$4,952)

Clarified Thu 14th Feb 2008 4:12am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: We will treat this as a conditional question, i.e. "Assuming there is a deal...". If no deal materialises then the question will be settled as a void.

Edited Thu 14th Feb 2008 5:40am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:17pm PST by

andrew Level 9, Expert (H$9,834)

Settlement requested Wed 9th Apr 2008 12:24pm PDT by

scott

: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120776803032602423.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Settlement requested Thu 17th Apr 2008 2:26pm PDT by

scott

: #2 Wins... they did a deal with Google.

Yahoo is reportedly moving closer toward outsourcing search to Google in a moveschmidt1.png designed to gain leverage in any talks with Microsoft. Let’s be clear: This story was leaked to the Wall Street Journal because Yahoo is likely to meet with Microsoft again soon.

According to the Wall Street Journal (Techmeme), Yahoo found that its limited test with Google went just swell. So swell that Yahoo may increase the amount of inventory it allows Google to use. Yahoo and Google teamed up on April 9. The Journal story cited people familiar with the matter. Translation: That’s Yahoo.

Yes, the Yahoo-Google test only lasted a few days and it’s unclear whether the results of these tests were some magic elixir, but that’s not the point. Yahoo is squeezing a lovelorn Microsoft, which is offering $31 a share for the portal. And Google is more than happy to play spoiler.

Antitrust concerns about a Google-Yahoo search deal? No need to worry about that–yet. Meanwhile, this Google partnership plays well with AOL, which could wind up merging with Yahoo somehow. Actually that AOL deal isn’t as dumb as it may appear.

In any case, it’s no coincidence that Yahoo and Google have finally found love. Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer issued his ultimatum almost two full weeks ago. The clock is ticking and closure has to come soon.

Settlement requested Fri 18th Apr 2008 6:37pm PDT by

scott

: They did a deal with Google. Even though it's a test it wins this question.

Suspended Thu 12th Jun 2008 12:48pm PDT by

newswrangler [Power User]

: Flagged by super user:

Suspended pending decision/settlement on today's announcement.

<http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004473230_webyahoo12.html>

Settlement requested Fri 13th Jun 2008 10:11am PDT by

newswrangler [Power User]

:
Should this settle based on yesterday's announcement?

<http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004473230_webyahoo12.html>

or should it be un-suspended?

Settled as 'Deal with Google' Mon 16th Jun 2008 9am PDT by

robuk

: http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004473230_webyahoo12.html

hide

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 16th Jun 2008 9am PDT
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Predictions (191)

191 predictions

30 weeks ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

predicted Deal with Google (H$20 at 12%)

34 weeks ago

kruijs [Power User]

predicted Deal with or Hostile Takeover by Microsoft (H$1,000 at 35%)

35 weeks ago

epicur Level 16, Oracle (H$914,936)

predicted Deal with or Hostile Takeover by Microsoft (H$110 at 25%)

35 weeks ago

epicur Level 16, Oracle (H$914,936)

predicted Deal with or Hostile Takeover by Microsoft (H$1,000 at 40%)

35 weeks ago

rooooo Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

predicted Deal with Google (H$20 at 42%)

Comments (8)

mork

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/technology/09cnd-yahoo.html?_r=2&ex=1360299600&en=0a10211874f4e291&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&oref=slogin&oref=slogin

posted 47 weeks ago

dohler Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,314)

This question leaves out the possibility that Yahoo might remain an independent company and make a deal with no one.

posted 47 weeks ago

mikecowen Level 7, Pro (H$3,210)

Let it run until a deal comes about. It's obvious at this point they are looking for one.

posted 47 weeks ago

arnos

I think a no deal option should be there, just in case.

posted 47 weeks ago

melmel07 Level 9, Expert (H$7,560)

or maybe void it if no deal in a month or 2

posted 47 weeks ago

duckie Level 13, Psychic (H$80,405)

let it run. microsoft will eat them soon enough.

posted 45 weeks ago

duckie Level 13, Psychic (H$80,405)

DAMNIT MICROSOFT, EAT THEM ALREADY!!!

posted 43 weeks ago

scott

Yahoo is reportedly moving closer toward outsourcing search to Google in a moveschmidt1.png designed to gain leverage in any talks with Microsoft. Let’s be clear: This story was leaked to the Wall Street Journal because Yahoo is likely to meet with Microsoft again soon.

According to the Wall Street Journal (Techmeme), Yahoo found that its limited test with Google went just swell. So swell that Yahoo may increase the amount of inventory it allows Google to use. Yahoo and Google teamed up on April 9. The Journal story cited people familiar with the matter. Translation: That’s Yahoo.

Yes, the Yahoo-Google test only lasted a few days and it’s unclear whether the results of these tests were some magic elixir, but that’s not the point. Yahoo is squeezing a lovelorn Microsoft, which is offering $31 a share for the portal. And Google is more than happy to play spoiler.

Antitrust concerns about a Google-Yahoo search deal? No need to worry about that–yet. Meanwhile, this Google partnership plays well with AOL, which could wind up merging with Yahoo somehow. Actually that AOL deal isn’t as dumb as it may appear.

In any case, it’s no coincidence that Yahoo and Google have finally found love. Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer issued his ultimatum almost two full weeks ago. The clock is ticking and closure has to come soon.

posted 37 weeks ago

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