What is the more likely Democratic Presidential Ticket going into November?

To note the movement on this question: When I created the question, a day after the last debate in January, a unity ticket seemed unlikely, but certainly not impossible. Accordingly, the odds among the four choices were set at 25% each - basically even odds of any of the four events happening. Compare that with where those odds stand today. Interesting? Certainly. Predictive? Time will tell.

nice spike.

very nice! i like it! let's watch this one go up and down over the next 4 or 5 days....

now that Caroline Kennedy is one of 3 studying the vp position my money says no way will Hillary be included

@coolkraft

I agree with you. But Clinton is scheduled to speak to her supporters on Saturday, June 7. If she leaves the door open for the vice-presidency during that speech this Market should not be settled until Obama's Veep Selection Committee announces their short list, or the nominee himself announces his running mate. In the best of world's logic would dictate that this market should be settling soon. But, at least 4 of the Washington Post's print articles (commentaries plus articles) today are on Clinton's strategy to get a VP spot. I think she would settle for a leading position on his campaign team facing down John McCain. But having her on his team might still rally moderate Republicans against him. So the drama continues until somebody blinks.

I added a bet of H$357 today to reach the H$100,000 mark. Yay!