What will be Clinton's polling margin in Pennsylvania on the eve of the Democratic primary (as reported by RCP)?

Suspend date: Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 21st Apr 4:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Clinton leads by 15.0 or more: 5%, Clinton leads by 10.0 to 14.9: 10%, Clinton leads by 7.5 to 9.9: 35%, Clinton leads by 5.0 to 7.4: 35%, Clinton leads by 0.1 to 4.9: 10%, Tie or Obama leads: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Apr 10:23am PDT by triathematician

Suspended Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 21st Apr 4:04pm PDT by raidersin09: RCP avg. now shows Clinton with a +5.9 lead.

Settled as 'Clinton leads by 5.0 to 7.4' Mon 21st Apr 4:22pm PDT by ryanj: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html

(At the time of settlement (7:21 PM EST) Clinton leads by 5.9 margin)

Suspend date: Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 21st Apr 4:22pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 21st Apr 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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