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What will be the age of McCain's VP choice?

Settled as 40's

44.

Background:

Strategists suggest that someone as old as McCain pick a younger VP running mate, but who knows?

Answers are divided by decade, like in his or her 30's, 40's, etc

Suspend date is fluid as this is a market revolving around an event not around a time frame.

Age is based on age on date of selection, as reported by major news sources.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

30's
0%
40's
26%
50's
7%
60's
67%
70's
0%
Younger than 30 or older than 80
0%
Activity: H$39,238
Settled as 40's on Fri 29th Aug 2008 9:29am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2008 9:29am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 30's: 10%, 40's: 30%, 50's: 30%, 60's: 20%, 70's: 9%, Younger than 30 or older than 80: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:43pm PST by melmel07
Clarified Thu 31st Jul 2008 8:23pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market suspend date has been pushed back. This is an event based market.
Suspended Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 29th Aug 2008 8:38am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: 44

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080829/ap_on_el_pr/cvn_veepstakes
Settled as '40's' Fri 29th Aug 2008 9:29am PDT by destry[Admin]: 44.

Suspend date: Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT Settlement date: Fri 29th Aug 2008 9:29am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 28th Aug 2008 8:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (214)

214 predictions

18 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted 60's (H$1,000 at 58%)
18 weeks ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted 50's (H$50 at 11%)
18 weeks ago
sonofagun predicted 40's (H$100 at 38%)
18 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted 60's (H$300 at 50%)
18 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted 40's (H$500 at 35%)
more

Comments (2)

Not that it matters too much, but the last option should probably read "older than 70s" or "older than 80"
posted 39 weeks ago
I believe you can't be VP unless you are 35.
posted 19 weeks ago

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