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What will be the longest prison sentence for the Florida youtube beating defendants?

Current forecast: At least one year but less than five years (69% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is At least one year but less than five years with a probability of 69% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Investigators said the victim apparently posted something against the six girls on MySpace before she was lured to the home by a phone call from teen Mercedes Nichols.

Police said the girl traveled to the house and walked into the trap.

One girl met her at the door and five others were hiding in a back room, detectives said. The girls were then seen on video pummeling the girl in the face and body and slamming her head into a wall.

As the videotape rolled, a girl's voice is heard yelling "There is only 17 seconds left; make it good."

Police said the girls wanted to post the video on YouTube and MySpace.

Maximum sentence is life in prison.
http://www.tampabays10.com/news/local/article.aspx?storyid=78082
http://www.local6.com/news/15817493/detail.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

No convictions
1%
No additional prison time
2%
At least one day but less than one year
15%
At least one year but less than five years
69%
At least five years but less than twenty years
11%
At least twenty years but less than life
2%
Life imprisonment
1%
Activity: H$10,249
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: No convictions: 1%, No additional prison time: 2%, At least one day but less than one year: 20%, At least one year but less than five years: 27%, At least five years but less than twenty years: 30%, At least twenty years but less than life: 15%, Life imprisonment: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Apr 2008 3:43pm PDT by onedave[Power User]
Edited Tue 15th Apr 2008 11:21am PDT by diana

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

5 days ago
ryanb37 predicted At least one year but less than five years (H$2,000 at 50%)
21 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted At least one day but less than one year (H$20 at 41%)
21 weeks ago
lizzielizzie predicted At least one day but less than one year (H$20 at 40%)
24 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No convictions (H$20 at 2%)
30 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted No convictions (H$20 at 1%)
more

Comments (7)

watching that video made me sick to my stomach
posted 38 weeks ago
  2 Erik
I forsee spitzering on this one. What if it's a year in jail with a suspended imposition of sentance pending 2 years probation?
posted 38 weeks ago
  3 onedave[Power User]
Probation would not be included in the figures, unless, of course, no one receives a prison sentence. By the way, your example would be at least one year but less than five years either way.
posted 38 weeks ago
  5 onedave[Power User]
This is a web page for the case. http://www.myfoxtampabay.com/myfox/pages/Home/Detail;jsessionid=8DCA40C86272BC30CE5E8AE218D466EB?contentId=6333517&version=13&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=1.1.1&sflg=1
posted 34 weeks ago
  6 onedave[Power User]
Charges against Cara Murphy, Stephen Schumaker and Zachary Ashley have been dropped. http://www.wesh.com/news/16602778/detail.html
posted 24 weeks ago
  7 chatarra
Thanks OneDave for the info posted above.
Can somebody tell me how long it might be for a resolution on this case?
I suspect that house arrest will end up substituting for actual incarceration.

From the link:
http://www.tampabays10.com/news/local/article.aspx?storyid=78082
"Their bond was set between $30 and $37 thousand dollars. There are also several conditions, including having no contact with each other or the victim, a curfew from 7 p.m. to 6 a.m., they cannot go back to Mulberry High School or any school events and they cannot go to any Internet chat rooms or MySpace and YouTube."
posted 1 week ago

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