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What will be the principal reason given for the British Airways crash at Heathrow?
Settlement details:This market will be settled as the reason given by investigators into the air crash. If more than one reason is given then it will be settled as the main reason or root cause reason (e.g. if a bird strike caused a mechanical failure the question will be settled as a bird strike). If more than one main reason is given then the question will be voided. Note: This question will be settled based on initial official reports, not the final report (which could take forever...)
SETTLEMENT NOTES:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/britain_plane
| Mechanical or electronic failure |
| |||
| Bird strike |
| |||
| Wind shear |
| |||
| Fuel starvation |
| |||
| Pilot error |
| |||
| Other |
|
- Activity: H$8,700 |
- Predictions: 106 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Tue 29th Jan 2008 3:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 29th Jan 2008 3:31am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Mechanical or electronic failure: 19%, Bird strike: 19%, Wind shear: 19%, Fuel starvation: 19%, Pilot error: 19%, Other: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Tue 29th Jan 2008 3:31am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 29th Jan 2008 3:31am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (106)
coolbits2k
predicted Mechanical or electronic failure (H$20 at 76%)
predicted Mechanical or electronic failure (H$100 at 75%)
predicted Mechanical or electronic failure (H$100 at 74%)
predicted Mechanical or electronic failure (H$100 at 73%)
predicted Mechanical or electronic failure (H$100 at 72%)Comments (1)
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