What will be the result of the switching on of the Large Hadron Collider in May?
Voided
The Large Hadron collider (
www.lhc.co.uk) is currently under construction in Geneva. It is designed to consume massive amounts of energy throwing particles around a tunnel at massive speeds.
more background
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What will be the result of the switching on of the Large Hadron Collider in May?
Nothing, no damage, or interesting results
Unexpected consequences result in the end of life on earth
Switzerland destroyed
Just Geneva destroyed
Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives
Small fatal accident
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Voided
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Nothing, no damage, or interesting results |
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Unexpected consequences result in the end of life on earth |
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Switzerland destroyed |
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Just Geneva destroyed |
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Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives |
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Small fatal accident |
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No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website |
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Tue 10th Jun 1:27pm PDT
Reason: After looking at the market I'm going to reluctantly void it. There is to much confusion around the market, and if we were to change the market from what it originally stated, we'd have users wanting their wagers refunded.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported on bbc.co.uk or other respectable news source. All events to occur by the end of June 2008
Suspend date: Fri 2nd May 12:59am PDT
Initial likelihoods:
Nothing, no damage, or interesting results: 50%, Unexpected consequences result in the end of life on earth: 3%, Switzerland destroyed: 1%, Just Geneva destroyed: 2%, Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives: 4%, Small fatal accident: 6%, No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website: 34%
Action history:
Created Sat 19th Jan 11:23pm PST by
svenno
Edited Sun 2nd Mar 2:18am PST by
tisha
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:28pm PST by
tisha
Edited Wed 12th Mar 2:19am PDT by
tisha
Suspended Fri 2nd May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 9th Jun 8:47pm PDT by
katana1021:
There's no timeframe as to when this question can be settled properly. All original bets should be refunded.
Voided Tue 10th Jun 1:27pm PDT by
ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
:
After looking at the market I'm going to reluctantly void it. There is to much confusion around the market, and if we were to change the market from what it originally stated, we'd have users wanting their wagers refunded.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported on bbc.co.uk or other respectable news source. All events to occur by the end of June 2008...
read all
Predictions (277)
277 predictions
17 weeks ago
myunion predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$20 at 83%)
17 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$20 at 83%)
17 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted
Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives (H$20 at 1%)
17 weeks ago
newpredict predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$100 at 75%)
more17 weeks ago
myunion predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$20 at 83%)
17 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$20 at 83%)
17 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted
Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives (H$20 at 1%)
17 weeks ago
newpredict predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$100 at 75%)
17 weeks ago
slushbox predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$600 at 71%)
17 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$101 at 67%)
17 weeks ago
mustytowel predicted
Nothing, no damage, or interesting results (H$100 at 7%)
17 weeks ago
legnahcra predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$321 at 67%)
17 weeks ago
obliverous predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$421 at 62%)
17 weeks ago
circuitfire predicted
Switzerland destroyed (H$20 at 0%)
17 weeks ago
circuitfire predicted
Just Geneva destroyed (H$20 at 1%)
17 weeks ago
circuitfire predicted
Disaster with more than 10 dead but Geneva survives (H$20 at 3%)
17 weeks ago
cmecalton predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$50 at 49%)
17 weeks ago
cmecalton predicted
Nothing, no damage, or interesting results (H$50 at 7%)
17 weeks ago
bookie predicted
No damage, results interesting enough to merit a story on BBC Website (H$100 at 49%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (29)
You can learn something new every day on hubdub !
but i really think mork is right. do we "really" know who is behind this?
http://cdsweb.cern.ch/journal/article?issue=14/2008&name=CERNBulletin&category=News%20Articles&number=2&ln=en
Looking at this market. I'm very confused when it was created it asked about what would happen in May. But the settlement rules refer to June. According to the rules this market should really be voided. Because the outcome is not listed in the settlement options. What does everyone think?
Regard,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
"Common Sense"
Reword the title so that the month May is not in it.
Reset the suspend date to August.
Provide additional background information plus link to the articles in which is explained the warming up phase before the actual activation of the thing.
Since epicur is no longer around (I'm sorry for that): Has anyone else an other opinion about this?
After looking at the market I'm going to reluctantly void it. There is to much confusion around the market, and if we were to change the market from what it originally stated, we'd have users wanting their wagers refunded.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
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