What will happen to UK house prices in April?
Fall of 1.3% reported by Halifax on the BBC.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7378215.stm
Background:
It puts prices 1.1% higher than they were a year ago, the slowest annual growth rate for 12 years.
What will this month bring?
The 2.5% house prices fall in March was the biggest monthly decline since September 1992, the Halifax said.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/7336642.stm
Settlement details:
As reported by the BBC or by Halifax Monthly House Price Index
Settled
| Fall of 3.5% or more |
| |||
| Fall of between 2.51% - 3.49% |
| |||
| Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% |
| |||
| Other |
|
Suspend date: Thu 1st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 2nd May 2008 5:19am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 1st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Fall of 3.5% or more: 5%, Fall of between 2.51% - 3.49%: 50%, Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5%: 30%, Other: 15%
Action history:
chris![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Result will be determined by next month's Halifax survey (http://www.hbosplc.com/economy/HousingResearch.asp). Major house price measures in the UK include the Nationwide and Halifax surveys, and official land registry figures (which are more definitive but released much later). These figures can vary widely, so settlements requests should be on the basis of the Halifax survey only please 
kismet
: House prices fell by 0.4% as reported by the BBC here: "Month-on-month, house prices fell by 0.4% in England and Wales, the seasonally-adjusted data showed"
..... fulfilling the 'Other' outcome criteria
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7370727.stm
lesley
: The link sent above is for March and for England and Wales only, not whole of UK. pencilpusher
: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7374730.stm kismet: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7378215.stm
halifax is quoted by the bbc as saying that house prices fell by 1.3% in april (month on month, not annualised) fulfilling the 'Other' option of the question
lesley: Fall of 1.3% reported by Halifax on the BBC.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7378215.stm
Suspend date: Thu 1st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 2nd May 2008 5:19am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 1st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (86)
86 predictions
predicted Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% (H$100 at 56%)
keyeshoveden![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% (H$20 at 55%)
predicted Fall of 3.5% or more (H$100 at 11%)
predicted Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% (H$50 at 55%)
predicted Other (H$100 at 15%)
predicted Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% (H$50 at 63%)
predicted Fall of between 1.5% - 2.5% (H$50 at 63%)
predicted Other (H$100 at 10%)
dai_hardComments (1)
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