smidge76
What will the change in nonfarm payroll employment be for the month of March 2008?
http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/economy/article/employers-cut-80000-jobs-march_548937_3.html
Background:
http://money.cnn.com/2008/03/07/news/economy/jobs_february/index.htm?postversion=2008030712
Settlement details:
As reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Summary for March 2008.
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm
Wagering will be suspended at midnight, March 31.
(Since even the so-called experts' predictions were so grossly inaccurate last month, I won't even try to predict the odds. Beginning odds for all outcomes will be equal.)
Settled
| net loss equal to or greater than 25,000 jobs |
| |||
| net loss less than 25,000 jobs |
| |||
| net gain of 0 to 25,000 jobs |
| |||
| net gain greater than 25,000 jobs |
|
Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 5th Apr 2008 8:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: net loss equal to or greater than 25,000 jobs: 25%, net loss less than 25,000 jobs: 25%, net gain of 0 to 25,000 jobs: 25%, net gain greater than 25,000 jobs: 25%
Action history:
smidge76 
markov
: Employers Cut 80,000 Jobs in March
http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/economy/article/employers-cut-80000-jobs-march_548937_3.html
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/economy/article/employers-cut-80000-jobs-march_548937_3.html
Suspend date: Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 5th Apr 2008 8:08am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Apr 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (15)
15 predictions
steveb
predicted net gain of 0 to 25,000 jobs (H$200 at 16%)
steph
predicted net loss less than 25,000 jobs (H$50 at 16%)
nightflylester
predicted net gain greater than 25,000 jobs (H$50 at 16%)
predicted net loss equal to or greater than 25,000 jobs (H$100 at 39%)Comments (1)
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