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When will Apple's share of the US computer market hit 20%?

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Background:

Background: Apple's market share of the US computer market is up from 9% in Feb 07 to 14% in Feb 08. http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&taxonomyId=12&articleId=9069298 When will they hit 20%?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source in reference to official figures released by Apple Inc or a respected third party market research firm. (Must include retail store sales plus online). All date ranges given are INCLUSIVE of stated dates.

 
Forecast history %
on or before July 31st 2008
0%
1st Aug to 31st Dec 2008
0%
1st to 31st Jan 2009
0%
1st to 28th Feb 2009
0%
1st to 31st March 2009
0%
1st to 30th April 2009
0%
1st to 31st May 2009
0%
Not before 1st June 2009
99%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Sun 31st May 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: on or before July 31st 2008: 5%, 1st Aug to 31st Dec 2008: 10%, 1st to 31st Jan 2009: 10%, 1st to 28th Feb 2009: 15%, 1st to 31st March 2009: 20%, 1st to 30th April 2009: 20%, 1st to 31st May 2009: 10%, Not before 1st June 2009: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 2008 5:17am PST by tomg[Admin]
Edited Thu 27th Mar 2008 5:35am PST by tomg[Admin]
Edited Thu 27th Mar 2008 5:36am PST by tomg[Admin]
Suspended Sun 31st May 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Sun 31st May 11:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (89)

4 weeks ago
mattc predicted Not before 1st June 2009 (H$200 at 99%)
5 weeks ago
h3llboy predicted Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 99%)
5 weeks ago
chull predicted Not before 1st June 2009 (H$1,000 at 98%)
5 weeks ago
bipedprimate predicted Not before 1st June 2009 (H$1,648 at 97%)
7 weeks ago
greggles predicted Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 96%)

Comments (1)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
When will Apple's share of the US computer market hit 20%? Possibly very soon: http://www.theonion.com/content/video/apple_introduces_revolutionary

;)
posted 25 weeks ago

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