When will Apple's share of the US computer market hit 20%?
Current forecast: Not before 1st June 2009 (76% chance
7%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Not before 1st June 2009 with a probability of 76% (up 7% in last 1 day)
When will Apple's share of the US computer market hit 20%?
on or before July 31st 2008
1st Aug to 31st Dec 2008
1st to 31st Jan 2009
1st to 28th Feb 2009
1st to 31st March 2009
1st to 30th April 2009
1st to 31st May 2009
Not before 1st June 2009
Forecast history, %
Make your prediction!
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on or before July 31st 2008 |
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1st Aug to 31st Dec 2008 |
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1st to 31st Jan 2009 |
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1st to 28th Feb 2009 |
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1st to 31st March 2009 |
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1st to 30th April 2009 |
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1st to 31st May 2009 |
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Not before 1st June 2009 |
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Activity: H$10,221
Question suspends in 32 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source in reference to official figures released by Apple Inc or a respected third party market research firm. (Must include retail store sales plus online). All date ranges given are INCLUSIVE of stated dates.
Suspend date: Mon 1st Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (32 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
on or before July 31st 2008: 5%, 1st Aug to 31st Dec 2008: 10%, 1st to 31st Jan 2009: 10%, 1st to 28th Feb 2009: 15%, 1st to 31st March 2009: 20%, 1st to 30th April 2009: 20%, 1st to 31st May 2009: 10%, Not before 1st June 2009: 10%
Action history:
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source in reference to official figures released by Apple Inc or a respected third party market research firm. (Must include retail store sales plus online). All date ranges given are INCLUSIVE of stated dates....
read all
Predictions (70)
70 predictions
4 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 73%)
4 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 72%)
5 weeks ago
atchoupani predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 71%)
5 weeks ago
swiver predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 70%)
12 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted
1st to 28th Feb 2009 (H$20 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 73%)
4 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 72%)
5 weeks ago
atchoupani predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 71%)
5 weeks ago
swiver predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 70%)
12 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted
1st to 28th Feb 2009 (H$20 at 4%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 73%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 72%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 71%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 70%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 68%)
14 weeks ago
jarrod predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 67%)
14 weeks ago
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$250 at 65%)
14 weeks ago
newswrangler predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$200 at 61%)
14 weeks ago
whydingo predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 59%)
14 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted
1st to 31st Jan 2009 (H$11 at 7%)
15 weeks ago
laura_anne predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$100 at 56%)
20 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted
1st to 31st Jan 2009 (H$100 at 4%)
21 weeks ago
landerson predicted
Not before 1st June 2009 (H$50 at 59%)
22 weeks ago
clawhammer predicted
1st to 28th Feb 2009 (H$50 at 5%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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