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When will Bin Laden be captured/killed?
Background:
Settlement details:This question will settle in the period in which Bin Laden is reported to be captured or killed. The relevant date will be of the capture or death rather than the date of report. Source of settlement will be the New York Times and two other respected news publications.
Forecast history %
| Jan to Jun 2008 |
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| Jul to Dec 2008 |
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| 2009 |
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| 2010 or later |
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Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$7,353 |
- Predictions: 33 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Jan to Jun 2008: 8%, Jul to Dec 2008: 12%, 2009: 20%, 2010 or later: 60%
Action history:
lesley
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (33)
frogchop
predicted 2010 or later (H$4,000 at 81%)
metaldev
predicted 2010 or later (H$100 at 65%)
predicted 2010 or later (H$100 at 64%)
predicted 2010 or later (H$200 at 61%)
predicted 2010 or later (H$100 at 73%)Comments (1)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Morningstar.com 27 weeks ago
organization for Al-Qaeda- affiliated insurgent groups fighting U.S. and Iraqi forces that has pledged loyalty to Osama bin Laden. At the height of Iraq's sectarian violence in 2006 and 2007, Al-Qaeda and other Sunni militant groups killed thousands of
score: 10
Times of India 27 weeks ago
WASHINGTON: The world's most wanted terrorist Osama bin Laden is 'not alive,' Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari has said while candidly describing the elusive terror mastermind as a US 'operator' who threatened to destabilise Benazir Bhutto government
score: 10
Morningstar.com 28 weeks ago
of how he escaped to Malaysia were immediately available. The 48-year-old is said to have links to Osama bin Laden's Al Qaeda, and is accused of plotting attacks in Singapore. Officials say he wanted to use a plane as a flying bomb and crash it into
score: 10
CBS News 29 weeks ago
(CBS) Khalid al Jhani once followed and fought for Osama bin Laden. Now he mocks him. The former al Qaeda soldier and Guantanamo Bay inmate is a 'graduate' of a reprogramming school for former jihadists in his native Saudi Arabia. Jhani
score: 10
Antara Interactive 29 weeks ago
Arnold, Missouri (ANTARA News/AFP) - Barack Obama signaled Wednesday he is operating under the assumption that Osama bin Laden is still alive, despite remarks by Pakistan's president saying intelligence service believes the Al-Qaeda leader has died. At a
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http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/02/17/tuesday_map_osama_bin_ladens_current_location
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