Home Hubdub logo
 
Home
Leaderboards

When will John McCain release his medical records?

Settled as His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008

 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

His medical records will be released before the end of April 2008
0%
His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008
87%
His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008
11%
His records will be released sometime between July 1 and November 4, 2008
1%
His medical records will not be released by November 4, 2008
1%
Activity: H$20,890
Settled as His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008 on Sat 24th May 5:35am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: None

Settlement date: Sat 24th May 5:35am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 2:15pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: His medical records will be released before the end of April 2008: 10%, His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008: 20%, His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008: 20%, His records will be released sometime between July 1 and November 4, 2008: 30%, His medical records will not be released by November 4, 2008: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 5th Apr 7:48am PDT by crowe
Suspended Thu 22nd May 3:17pm PDT by destry[Admin]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 3:17pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market suspended based on news of release date announcement, and discussion to ensure that allowing media a 3 hour peak at the records would be enough to settle this question as a release of his records.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/HEALTH/05/22/mccain.records/index.html?eref=rss_latest (market suspended)
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 8:08pm PDT by jake: Answer is in May. He released them today by letting a few reporters look at a 400 page report and take notes.

http://washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080522/NATION/881355301/1001
Suspended Fri 23rd May 7:25am PDT by skipper[Power User]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Fri 23rd May 7:25am PDT by skipper[Power User]: Even more so, it was a 1,173 page report released to the AP
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/05/23/mccains-medical-records-show-candidate-cancer-free-healthy/ (market suspended)
Settlement requested Fri 23rd May 9:32am PDT by jake: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24789774/
Settlement requested Fri 23rd May 1:12pm PDT by crowe: He released them to the AP:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080523/ap_on_el_pr/mccain_health
Settlement requested Fri 23rd May 4:05pm PDT by Erik: Soooooooo...........what's up with the settlement on this?
Settled as 'His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008' Sat 24th May 5:35am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24789774/
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

12 weeks ago
kengm predicted His medical records will be released during the month of May 2008 (H$1,000 at 84%)
12 weeks ago
agoel117 predicted His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008 (H$20 at 16%)
12 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008 (H$20 at 15%)
12 weeks ago
doris predicted His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008 (H$20 at 14%)
12 weeks ago
quincyguy predicted His medical records will be released during the month of June 2008 (H$100 at 9%)
more

Comments

  1 Erik
Last night on Bill O'Reilly he said, "In a week or two."
posted 14 weeks ago
  2 crowe
He released them - May 23
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080523/ap_on_el_pr/mccain_health;_ylt=AiKHXGLMNHx42xYKjN._3ExI2ocA
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 Erik
Soooooooo...........what's up with the settlement on this?
posted 12 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
I suspened this and it is in the hands of the category editor to settle. I suspended as soon as there was reports that the news was out there. I didn't want alot of wagers made after the news was released. It is in Ryan's hands now.
posted 12 weeks ago
Just a reminder, our mighty admins live in Scotland, its a Friday night and they are all students. Give them a chance to have some fun tonight and they'll settle things in the morning.
posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.