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When will Katie Couric leave the anchor desk at the CBS Evening News?

Current forecast: Leaves on or after January 1, 2009 (86% chance9%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Leaves on or after January 1, 2009 with a probability of 86% (up 9% in last 1 day)

Ratings have not been kind...talk is all around about her departure, some say she may last until after the November elections...what do you think?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Gone by September 1, 2008
1%
Leaves after Sep 1, but before Nov 1
2%
Leaves between Nov 2 and Dec 31
12%
Leaves on or after January 1, 2009
86%
Activity: H$17,265
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 17th Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Gone by September 1, 2008: 20%, Leaves after Sep 1, but before Nov 1: 15%, Leaves between Nov 2 and Dec 31: 35%, Leaves on or after January 1, 2009: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Apr 5:26am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 30th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Mon 1st Sep 7:27am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspend date pushed forward
Suspended Sat 1st Nov 11:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date last Friday 6:42am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: was: "2008-11-01 23:59:00"
Unsuspended last Friday 6:43am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: No news yet on Katie's plans. Market reopened.

Suspend date: Wed 17th Dec 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (55)

55 predictions

5 days ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Leaves on or after January 1, 2009 (H$1,000 at 79%)
5 days ago
gtown predicted Leaves between Nov 2 and Dec 31 (H$20 at 20%)
2 weeks ago
bency predicted Leaves on or after January 1, 2009 (H$20 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
gtown predicted Leaves between Nov 2 and Dec 31 (H$20 at 17%)
5 weeks ago
jonica predicted Leaves between Nov 2 and Dec 31 (H$20 at 17%)
more

Comments (10)

Is this when she announces she is leaving or her actual last day on the job?
posted 31 weeks ago
hey tiger, don't you DARE say "Resign"....or else!
posted 31 weeks ago
  4 bayoubear[Admin]
My intentions were for the last day on the job...........
posted 30 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
It's likely though that an announcement that she is leaving would occur well before her last day on the job. If so, the question will be suspended on the day of the announcement and settled for when her last day is.
posted 29 weeks ago
  6 pixelpaws
After some digging around, I can't find any articles even implying she might be off the air any time soon. I'm rather puzzled as to the source of this question at all. Can we get a source or two for this?
posted 13 weeks ago
Who is that lady... anybody ever seen her show?
posted 13 weeks ago
@f_o_f

Whats the frequency,Kenneth?
posted 13 weeks ago
The frequency is pretty low
zzz
zzzzzz
zzzz
zzz
zzz
snewzzzzz
posted 13 weeks ago
@pixelpaws - try googling "katie couric leaving" or "katie couric ratings" There have been lots of rumors about CBS shuffling her off the air (and incurring a massive breach of contract in the process). Its almost assuredly not going to happen before the election though.
posted 12 weeks ago

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