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No user imagebookie predicted Sometime on or after June 28, 2008 (H$83)
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New in Business » Economics

Will U.S. house prices continue to decline?
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Will the price of Oil end the week closer to $120.00 or $130.00 / barrel? (May 12th-16th)

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jarrod

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Created Tue 22nd Apr 12:04pm PST by jarrod
All questions » Business » Economics » 

When will Light, Sweet Crude reach $130 per barrel.

Forecast: Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008 (41% chance 6% )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008 with a probability of 41% (down 6% in last 1 day)

It's bound to happen, it's a question of when.

I stacked the odds heavier towards the beginning of may since the price of oil has steadily increased this year.

 
Prediction history
   Larger graph on Graph tab below

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Between April 23 - May 2, 2008
0%
Between May 3 - May 9, 2008
0%
Between May 10 - May 14, 2008
8%
Between May 15 - May 21, 2008
24%
May 22, 2008
3%
Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008
41%
Sometime on or after June 28, 2008
24%
Total activity: H$33,384
Question suspends in 6 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Comments (7)
 
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Predictions
 

Details

  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Thu 26th Jun 12:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: Between April 23 - May 2, 2008: 20%, Between May 3 - May 9, 2008: 25%, Between May 10 - May 14, 2008: 15%, Between May 15 - May 21, 2008: 15%, May 22, 2008: 5%, Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008: 10%, Sometime on or after June 28, 2008: 10%

Action history

Created Tue 22nd Apr 12:04pm PST by jarrod
Related News
Keywords: light, sweet crude, oil
1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Tamm Oil and Gas Corp. Receives Determination of Heavy Oil in Place


NewsBlaze 13 hours ago
Published: Tamm Oil and Gas Corp. ("Tamm") (OTC Bulletin Board: TAMO) is pleased to announce that on April 10, 2008, Tamm received a report from...
Page: 1
Comments
  1 mork
hopefully it doesn't happen on the 28th of june.
posted 2 weeks ago
  2 jarrod
Hopefully!
posted 1 week ago
  3 lucidstates
It will happen well before June 28th, I am betting!
Remember guys, it's gone up $11 in 5 days! And now stands at $124 / barrel on the electronic exchange at 12:05am PST ... Tading in Asia has sent it to this level while the US markets are closed, so I am more than willing to bet that $6 more in the next 6 weeks is utterly certain!

lucidstates
posted 4 days ago
  4 andrew[Admin]
I have fixed the option text for the last option to avoid the missing day.

Andrew
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 4 days ago
  5 lucidstates
Oil currently trading at $124.74 and was as high as $126.25 earlier in the trading day this Friday the 9th of May :-D
posted 3 days ago
  6 lucidstates
Oil closed out the trading day and this week at $125.96 / barrel, up $2.24 for the session and a whopping 8%+ which also translates into a around $11 gains for the week and another ALL TIME HIGH in closing and another ALL TIME HIGH of more than $126 / barrel during the day!

Only $5.04 to go until we reach $130 / barrel ... And trust me, it won't take 6 weeks either :-/
posted 3 days ago
  7 lucidstates
I'm sorry, ONLY $4.04 to go till we reach $130 ..... typo :-P
posted 3 days ago

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Prediction Graph
When will Light, Sweet Crude reach $130 per barrel.
Between April 23 - May 2, 2008
Between May 3 - May 9, 2008
Between May 10 - May 14, 2008
Between May 15 - May 21, 2008
May 22, 2008
Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008
Sometime on or after June 28, 2008

Recent predictions

4 hours ago
No user imagebookie predicted Sometime on or after June 28, 2008 (H$83)
17 hours ago
noah_reason predicted Between May 15 - May 21, 2008 (H$20)
17 hours ago
noah_reason predicted May 22, 2008 (H$20)
17 hours ago
noah_reason predicted Between May 10 - May 14, 2008 (H$20)
2 days ago
dragon01 predicted Between May 15 - May 21, 2008 (H$20)
2 days ago
dragon01 predicted Between May 15 - May 21, 2008 (H$20)
2 days ago
No user imagemonkeynacho predicted Between May 10 - May 14, 2008 (H$100)
2 days ago
kasulked predicted May 22, 2008 (H$50)
2 days ago
shadow predicted Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008 (H$20)
2 days ago
No user imagestonger predicted Between May 23, 2008 - June 27, 2008 (H$100)