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Recent predictions

4 weeks ago
epicur predicted They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) (H$10)
4 weeks ago
epicur predicted January 2009 - June 2009 (H$1)
4 weeks ago
kruijs predicted They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) (H$100)

When will Nicolas Sarkozy and Carla Bruni break up ?

Forecast: They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) (22% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) with a probability of 22% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Official reports of a legal divorce has to be produced to settle this .

 
% chance over time
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April 2008 - June 2008
5%
July 2008 - September 2008
5%
October 2008 - December 2008
8%
January 2009 - June 2009
22%
July 2009 - September 2009
20%
October 2009 - December 2009
20%
They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after)
22%
Total activity: H$111
Question suspends in 1 year
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: April 2008 - June 2008 : 5%, July 2008 - September 2008: 5%, October 2008 - December 2008: 8%, January 2009 - June 2009: 22%, July 2009 - September 2009: 20%, October 2009 - December 2009: 20%, They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after): 20%
Created Sun 20th Apr 11:10am PST by No user imagejunkie_1
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Carla Bruni's new album: songs about 'dope' and the Pyramids


Carla Bruni might be a multimillionaire aristocrat, former supermodel and French president's wife but let's not forget that her day job is to rock...

score: 10

Carla Bruni sings of love for Sarkozy


LONDON: Just months after tying the knot with Nicolas Sarkozy, Italian supermodel-turned singer Carla Bruni will again express her love for the...
Page: 1

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When will Nicolas Sarkozy and Carla Bruni break up ?
April 2008 - June 2008
July 2008 - September 2008
October 2008 - December 2008
January 2009 - June 2009
July 2009 - September 2009
October 2009 - December 2009
They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after)
4 weeks ago
epicur predicted They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) (H$10)
4 weeks ago
epicur predicted January 2009 - June 2009 (H$1)
4 weeks ago
kruijs predicted They will stay together as on 1st January 2010 (and may live happily ever after) (H$100)