Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

When will Radiohead ANNOUNCE the release of their next album?

Settled as October 2009 or later

The Radiohead frontman says his band have no intention to release another album and will instead focus on download-only singles and EPs.

Both the 'Oct 2009/later" option and "Never, they quit" are viable settlement alternatives, but since the band has *not* quit and will continue to release songs as Radiohead, the October 2009 option is more appropriate.

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Before August 2008
3%
August-December 2008
5%
January-March 2009
9%
April-June 2009
23%
July- September 2009
27%
October 2009 or later
32%
Never, they quit, they will no longer produce albums as radiohead
0%
Settled as October 2009 or later on Thu 1st Oct 2:38am PST

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 2:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Before August 2008: 8%, August-December 2008: 12%, January-March 2009: 20%, April-June 2009: 22%, July- September 2009: 21%, October 2009 or later: 16%, Never, they quit, they will no longer produce albums as radiohead: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Apr 2008 6:16pm PST by theonecalledmichael
Suspended Fri 1st Aug 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Sat 2nd Aug 2008 9:07am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Moving suspend data forward significantly in accordance with suspend date rules
Clarified Sat 2nd Aug 2008 9:09am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: This market will settle as "never they quit" on announcement from the band that they have disbanded or changed their name from Radiohead. It will settle as Oct or later if they are still a band by October '09 but have not announced a new album.
Suspended Sun 6th Sep 9:44am PST by frogchop: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Sun 6th Sep 9:44am PST by frogchop: http://www.guardian.co.uk/music/2009/aug/11/thom-yorke-radiohead

http://transworldnews.com/NewsStory.aspx?id=110206&cat=16

The band will release no new albums; EPs and Singles only. (market suspended)
Settled as 'October 2009 or later' Thu 1st Oct 2:38am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: The Radiohead frontman says his band have no intention to release another album and will instead focus on download-only singles and EPs.

Both the 'Oct 2009/later" option and "Never, they quit" are viable settlement alternatives, but since the band has *not* quit and will continue to release songs as Radiohead, the October 2009 option is more appropriate.

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 2:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (27)

14 weeks ago
oocares predicted October 2009 or later (H$300 at 34%)
18 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted October 2009 or later (H$100 at 36%)
18 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted July- September 2009 (H$200 at 21%)
22 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted October 2009 or later (H$100 at 35%)
23 weeks ago
bleuthold predicted April-June 2009 (H$1,000 at 24%)

Comments (11)

Not a DVD, an ALBUM, NEW Material
posted 1 year ago
  2 gingerboi
dude, this site might not even exist by the time this question is realized. Never tie up cash in a question beyond three months eh? The golden rules? Anyway man, I can't seem them doing dick for two years.
posted 1 year ago
  3 kruijs[Power User]
"Radiohead's seventh album, In Rainbows, was released in October 2007 as a digital download"
"In Rainbows was physically released in the UK in late December and in North America in January 2008"
"A greatest hits compilation, titled Radiohead: The Best of, will be released by EMI in June 2008."
"Radiohead will tour North America, Europe, South America and Japan from May 2008 to the end of the year to promote In Rainbows."

So, they will get back to the studio in 2009. Record the new album, prepare the promotion ... I'd say October 2009 or later.
posted 1 year ago
Well, you can bet it won't be a "name your own price" thing.... they reportedly have about 60 songs already in the works for a new album....
posted 1 year ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
TOCM,

hehe,
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Will_the_upcoming_Guns_N_Roses_album_Chinese_Democracy_be_released_before_2012__899/view

but with saying "ANNOUNCE" you made predictions quite difficult, though. They could announce about anything just like tomorrow.

oh, i forgot to add the source of my quotes:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiohead
(you knew that i think)
posted 1 year ago
I like your input Kruijs, I didn't take into account all the aspects that you've brought forwards. I don't think as indepth on many issues and so I am thankful you expanded my ideas concerning this question. I though "Jan - Mar 09" until I read your comment Kruijs, now I'm with you, I'll bet Oct 09 :-D.
I do think that even if they "announce" an album tomorrow for say a date in Oct. 09, then that is cool too, and that is what HubDub is all about, as it is when do we think it'll be announced, not when it'll be released and so that makes it all the more fun. So if anyone thinks that they'll "announce" in the next couple weeks, then they should bet on "Before Aug 2008" and then they'll win, hehe, I love questions with wide ranging possibilities for conclusion as it makes the betting way more even instead of like 87% on one answer, really keeps the payoffs big, I LOVE IT "tocm" great job man :-D

lucidstates
posted 1 year ago
this all came up while listening to some of my employees, all big fans of radiohead, discuss the possibility of another album being recorded because of the amount of material they have already... they might be full of crap, i don't know....but i was bored last night (see boredom question)... announcement is a way to shorten the settlement time, because if you settle based on release date, you still have to wait for the album to be released... so far, radiohead has not announced a new album, but if they go into the studio and announce that a new album will be released in 2009 or 2010, then we can settle based on when the announcement is made...
posted 1 year ago
  8 kruijs[Power User]
michael,
- i like music questions (see the questions i post),
- i like the music radiohead makes
- i like the mode of this question, because it is not obvious and
- i over-read the word announce in the title first (whups) as i wrote #3 and put money in the options :)
posted 1 year ago
This market has been unsuspended and the suspense date moved back (a lot) as well as clarified: This market will settle as "never they quit" on announcement from the band that they have disbanded or changed their name from Radiohead. It will settle as Oct or later if they are still a band by October '09 but have not announced a new album.
posted 1 year ago
I'll release an album when I'm ready!
posted 1 year ago
  11 oocares
Radiohead In The Studio For "In Rainbows" Follow-Up
http://mog.com/Charley_Rogulewski/blog/1312877
posted 26 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
U.S. CPSC announces recall of folding bicycles

risk: watchdog The technology behind Ontario's new enhanced driver's licences will allow people to secretly track other people's activities and movements unless privacy protection is added, warns the province's privacy commissioner. Atlantis takes hold

score: 10
Health Canada issues warning about Magno spray-on deodorants

risk: watchdog The technology behind Ontario's new enhanced driver's licences will allow people to secretly track other people's activities and movements unless privacy protection is added, warns the province's privacy commissioner. Atlantis takes hold

score: 10
Fridge horrors: What's the worst discovery you've made in your fridge?

trial leads to Winnipeg The Bandidos murder trial in Ontario was told Tuesday about body armour, notes and other evidence found in the homes of two of three Winnipeg men accused in the killings. Health Canada weighs fortifying junk foods Health Canada

score: 10
Jason Evans Associates recalls children's hooded jackets with drawstring

packed their schedules in an attempt to woo voters on the final day of campaigning before British Columbians head to the polls Tuesday. Children can recover from autism, research suggests A growing body of research suggests at least 10 per cent of

score: 10
KTM North America recalls off-road motorcycles

country's overall handling of the iconic Arctic species. GM bankruptcy becoming more probable: CEO Bankruptcy protection for General Motors Corp. is becoming more probable with a deadline just over two weeks away, the company's top executive told

Related Tags