Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

When will the Kyoto Treaty be ratified by the United States?

Background: The USA are signitories of the Kyoto treaty but have yet to ratify the treaty. When will they ratify it?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
2008
0%
2009 - 2011
8%
2012 - 2014
2%
None of these years
90%
Question suspends in 4 years

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2015 3:59pm PST (4 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: 2008: 5%, 2009 - 2011: 20%, 2012 - 2014: 25%, None of these years: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 16th Apr 2008 2:49pm PST by eponymoushero

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2015 3:59pm PST (4 years to go) details

 

Predictions (63)

6 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted None of these years (H$2,000 at 87%)
7 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted None of these years (H$1,000 at 83%)
8 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted None of these years (H$1,000 at 79%)
9 weeks ago
mikeo7b3 predicted None of these years (H$200 at 76%)
10 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted None of these years (H$1,000 at 74%)

Comments (14)

  1 mork[Power User]
I pray I'm alive to see this one settle.
posted 1 year ago
  2 mork[Power User]
Check it Out ...^ ...There is a 101% chance it will happen.
posted 1 year ago
  3 ladylara
For our non-American 'Dubbers, the next presidential election will be November '08, but that person won't assume power until 1/09.
posted 1 year ago
  4 mork[Power User]
It appears you just reduced the odds of it happening to only 100% Lady.
Hope you don't mind we blame you when the shit hits the fan.
posted 1 year ago
  5 ladylara
Ohhh, now now!! I shall come after you with my cane!!
posted 1 year ago
Am I just bad at maths and did I accidentaly make the question out of 101%?
posted 1 year ago
  7 mork[Power User]
No, it was just the way it rounded out after some $ went in.
Once it settles out I'm going to start putting $H in one at a time to try and bring it up to 101 again.
Dirty job but somebody will have to do it.
posted 1 year ago
Haha, that is commitment to the cause.
Good work Mork
posted 1 year ago
  9 markov
I'd bet 'none of these years' but the question will take too long to settle. A similar treat my be ratified but Kyoto is dead in the U.S. The dramatic increase in consumption and pollution in China and India is pretty much proving the decision not to ratify the treaty was the right choice. The next treaty will need to deal more effectively with emerging economies. Perhaps they won't have to play by the same rules, at first, but we can't just give them carte blanche to do anything they want.
posted 1 year ago
Here is what happened to the countries who were caught signing this Kyoto Protocol:


Europe, Japan Face $46 Billion Global-Warming Penalty

Twenty nations including Japan, Italy and Australia may be releasing more greenhouse-gas pollution than they agreed to under the Kyoto treaty to curb global warming

---

Under the treaty, countries that are unable to meet targets must buy permits from nations that have a surplus. The government must pay the bill, and some such as Italy and Spain are requiring industry to share in the costs.
.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aTYTqcXZf7fE&refer=japan

It looks like yet another way to "spread the wealth around".
posted 1 year ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
wow, lucky the US did not sign it
posted 1 year ago
  12 Erik
They're not only wrong, they're mean thieves, reports London's Gaurdian:

"How Going Green May Make You Mean"

"When Al Gore was caught running up huge energy bills at home at the same time as lecturing on the need to save electricity, it turns out that he was only reverting to "green" type.

According to a study, when people feel they have been morally virtuous by saving the planet through their purchases of organic baby food, for example, it leads to the "licensing [of] selfish and morally questionable behaviour", otherwise known as "moral balancing" or "compensatory ethics"
.
Do Green Products Make Us Better People is published in the latest edition of the journal Psychological Science. Its authors, Canadian psychologists Nina Mazar and Chen-Bo Zhong, argue that people who wear what they call the "halo of green consumerism" are less likely to be kind to others, and more likely to cheat and steal. "Virtuous acts can license subsequent asocial and unethical behaviours."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/mar/15/green-consumers-more-likely-steal
posted 3 days ago
  13 dieseldog
Nursery Rhyme Ads Banned for Overstating Climate Change

Two Government advertisements which used nursery rhymes to raise awareness of climate change have been banned for overstating the risks.

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/03/17/nursery-rhyme-ads-banned-overstating-climate-change/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%253A+foxnews%252Fscitech+%2528Text+-+SciTech%2529

more on link from the most trusted name in news

sounds like the IPCC. :O)
posted 2 days ago
  14 kruijs[Power User]
yeah! it doesn't actually rhyme too!!
posted 2 days ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Yingli Green Energy Enters Into Exclusive Supplier Framework Agreement with AES Solar

BAODING, China, May 15 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited (YGE) (''Yingli Green Energy'' or the ''Company''), one of the world's leading vertically integrated photovoltaic (''PV'') product manufacturers, today

score: 10
Bill Clinton urges US on 'strong' climate bill

must be passed before a global summit in Copenhagen in December to agree on a successor to the Kyoto treaty on cutting greenhouse gas emissions. 'First of all, if we don't adopt a workable but a strong bill then we can't get them (India and China) to

score: 10
Yingli Green Energy to Announce First Quarter 2009 Financial Results on May 22, 2009

Yingli Green Energy to Announce First Quarter 2009 Financial Results on May 22, 2009 BAODING, China, May 13 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited (NYSE: YGE) ('Yingli Green Energy' or

score: 10
Yingli Green Energy to Announce First Quarter 2009 Financial Results on May 22, 2009

BAODING, China, May 13 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited (YGE) ('Yingli Green Energy' or the 'Company'), one of the world's leading vertically integrated photovoltaic ('PV') product manufacturers, today announced

score: 10
China calls for deeper CO2 cuts by rich nations

worst of global warming. China was also proposing to establish a specific financing mechanism for the transfer of green energy technology and funding for climate change adaptation for poorer nations, Li said. In a submission to the United Nations last