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When will the Rocket Racing League hold its first competition game?

Current forecast: 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009 (81% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009 with a probability of 81% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: Competition game = non exhibition match, contested by three or more independent qualifying teams.
As reported by a daily newspaper.

 
Forecast history, %
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Before 1 July 2008
5%
1 July 2008 - 31 December 2008
5%
1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009
81%
After 30 June 2009
10%
Activity: H$440
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 12:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before 1 July 2008: 5%, 1 July 2008 - 31 December 2008 : 5%, 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009: 85%, After 30 June 2009: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 20th Jan 2008 9:58am PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:38pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 1st Aug 12:59am PDT (29 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

14 weeks ago
nuaetius predicted 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009 (H$100 at 81%)
23 weeks ago
drhow predicted After 30 June 2009 (H$20 at 10%)
23 weeks ago
drhow predicted After 30 June 2009 (H$20 at 9%)

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