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Created Sun 27th Jan 10:53am PST by thomasthetank
All questions » Business » Results » 

When will the maiden flight of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner occur?

Current forecast: 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 (65% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 with a probability of 65% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The 787 has been hit with multiple delays, but it may make its maiden flight this year.
 
Forecast history, %
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 2nd Quarter (April-June) 2008
2%
3rd Quarter (July-September) 2008
12%
4th Quarter (October-December)2008
65%
2009 or later
21%
Activity: H$10,861
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by major media sources.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 2nd Quarter (April-June) 2008: 20%, 3rd Quarter (July-September) 2008: 30%, 4th Quarter (October-December)2008: 25%, 2009 or later: 25%

Action history:

Created Sun 27th Jan 10:53am PST by thomasthetank
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by major media sources.... read all

 

Predictions (79)

79 predictions

1 day ago
shojun predicted 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 (H$100 at 64%)
1 day ago
gingerboi predicted 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 (H$1,000 at 55%)
6 weeks ago
kennyk predicted 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 (H$300 at 56%)
6 weeks ago
kennyk predicted 2009 or later (H$100 at 26%)
6 weeks ago
sawta predicted 4th Quarter (October-December)2008 (H$20 at 53%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 mork[Power User]
Everett (WA) - Boeing has hit a critical milestone on the way to getting its 787 Dreamliner up in the air. The company today said that it has powered on the first 787, preparing the plane for a complex series of tasks and tests that bring electrical power onto the airplane and begin to exercise the use of the electrical systems. The first flight remains on scheduled for later this year.
http://www.tomshardware.com/news/Boeing-787-aircraft-plane,5722.html
posted 10 weeks ago

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score: 10
Boeing faces potential delay in assembly completion of first 787

Flight International 2 days ago
With just over twenty-four hours to go before the contracts of 26,800 machinists expire, Boeing is quickly running out of margin to achieve first flight of the 787 as the deadline for assembly completion of the first aircraft has reportedly

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