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When will the price of diesel fuel drop below $4.00 a gallon, according to the weekly EIA reports?
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_nus_w.htm
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Data provided by the Energy Information Administration.
| Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the April 28 reports |
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| Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 5 reports |
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| Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 12 reports |
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| Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 19 reports |
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| Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 26 reports |
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| Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May |
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- Activity: H$45,755 |
- Predictions: 34 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Sat 24th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 28th May 2008 12:40pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 24th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the April 28 reports: 10%, Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 5 reports: 15%, Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 12 reports: 12%, Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 19 reports: 14%, Diesel prices drop below $4 a gallon on the May 26 reports: 14%, Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May: 35%
Action history:
andrew
: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_nus_w.htm 
Suspend date: Sat 24th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 28th May 2008 12:40pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 24th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (34)
artist1116
predicted Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May (H$21 at 98%)
djmassey
predicted Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May (H$100 at 98%)kgholderman
predicted Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May (H$100 at 98%)epicur
predicted Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May (H$10,000 at 95%)dan990
predicted Diesel prices do not drop below $4 a gallon by the end of May (H$100 at 89%)Comments (2)
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