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My Predictions

Where will the Dow Jones Average close on Friday, February 22, 2008?

Settled as Between 12,300 and 12,399.99

Closed at 12,381
http://money.cnn.com/data/markets/dow/
http://finance.google.com/finance?q=INDEXDJ

Background:

It's still an up and down, topsy-turvy week on Wall Street. How will the Dow end up for the day and for the week?
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Under 12,200.00
1%
Between 12,200.00 and 12,299.99
7%
Between 12,300 and 12,399.99
92%
Between 12,400.00 and 12,499.99
0%
Over 12,500.00
0%
Activity: H$168,245
Settled as Between 12,300 and 12,399.99 on Fri 22nd Feb 1:13pm PST
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Feb 12:50pm PST

Settlement date: Fri 22nd Feb 1:13pm PST

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Feb 12:50pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Under 12,200.00: 5%, Between 12,200.00 and 12,299.99: 15%, Between 12,300 and 12,399.99: 40%, Between 12,400.00 and 12,499.99: 30%, Over 12,500.00: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 21st Feb 10:39am PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Fri 22nd Feb 12:50pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 22nd Feb 1:07pm PST by theonecalledmichael: show details
Settlement requested Fri 22nd Feb 1:07pm PST by widescreen: Done.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (783)

783 predictions

33 weeks ago
kida predicted Between 12,300 and 12,399.99 (H$20 at 71%)
33 weeks ago
gregfantoni predicted Between 12,300 and 12,399.99 (H$100 at 70%)
33 weeks ago
grueller predicted Under 12,200.00 (H$100 at 1%)
33 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Between 12,200.00 and 12,299.99 (H$20 at 12%)
33 weeks ago
kida predicted Between 12,200.00 and 12,299.99 (H$50 at 85%)
more

Comments (39)

  1 rohan
And the journey starts again...
posted 33 weeks ago
  2 sydiot
I just read that took Phillip Morris and Honeywell out of the DJIA and replaced it with Chevron and Bank of America Group. Of course, that happened last week, so it's old news. ;)
posted 33 weeks ago
Who bet on 12,400 - 12,499???? 8-}
posted 33 weeks ago
I took a long shot early am on 12,400 = 12,499. I'm not a wall street guru. I was just being hopeful. :(
posted 33 weeks ago
  5 rohan
I have $10000 on over 12500
posted 33 weeks ago
  6 kasulked
rally, rally, rally......
posted 33 weeks ago
No you don't Rohan... ;-D
posted 33 weeks ago
Jersjus, Hey, if they kill Bin Laden today, you'll be rich! Ya never know...
posted 33 weeks ago
  9 destry[Admin]
Well I have to say I am loving the new calculator.
posted 33 weeks ago
  10 steph
Me too! I wonder if this came from my idea posted in getsatisfaction.

= )
posted 33 weeks ago
  11 destry[Admin]
Steph you seem to be making a move on the leaderboard today, I am starting to feel you coming at my number 6 spot. I should move up after the leaderboard question is settled, I have 40k on that question.
posted 33 weeks ago
  12 steph
LOL! I'm not "coming after your spot", I'm fighting just to stay in the top 20!

I suffered at least H$20K in losses this week; between Tuesday's stock market, Yau-Man being voted off (DOH!), every sports question I bid on (as usual, when will I learn?), and me bailing on the gender of J-Lo's twins, it's amazing that I'm still #7!

Thanks for the compliment of feeling threatened by me!

= )
posted 33 weeks ago
  13 kasulked
come on profit takers, the market is ripe for the picking.........:)
posted 33 weeks ago
  14 grueller
friday afternoon profit taking should kick in soon :)
posted 33 weeks ago
  15 steph
Oh, please let it kick in soon.....
posted 33 weeks ago
<every sports question I bid on (as usual, when will I learn?)>

Ha, I lost my shirt a few weeks ago when Tiger Woods fell back on a Saturday round.
I changed my bids, and bet AGAINST him.

He won.
I lost.

But ... I was really. really glad he won!
posted 33 weeks ago
Then, there was the Super Bowl filled to the brim with Lost H$.
posted 33 weeks ago
  18 golwar
rocket jump to the end, how glad I am that I sold everything <12200 at the high 80s :)
posted 33 weeks ago
  19 steph
Wooohoo!!! The 4:30pm EST bargain hunters are at it again!

Ditto on the Superbowl. Who would have known?

= )
posted 33 weeks ago
  20 kasulked
rally, rally, rally.........:):):)
posted 33 weeks ago
  21 mozrules
hehe does that work? maybe I should try it..
rally, rally, rally!!
posted 33 weeks ago
  22 kasulked
I knew (about the superbowl) won a bundle on it. Lost most of it in the markets, yea rally, rally, rally
posted 33 weeks ago
  23 jbolli
Hard to believe how much a $100 bet at 0.5% will get you
posted 33 weeks ago
  24 mozrules
no kidding, lol
posted 33 weeks ago
  25 kasulked
yea, cashed in a $20 bet for $2100 yea rally rally rally
posted 33 weeks ago
lost big time here -- but made it (I hope) on the other one.
posted 33 weeks ago
  27 widescreen
Why do they suspend before the close?
posted 33 weeks ago
  28 kasulked
go bargin hunters, go, rally, rally, rally yea.......
posted 33 weeks ago
  29 kasulked
whoa, slow down don't blow through the 12399 range!!!!!!
posted 33 weeks ago
  30 mozrules
Oh wow, I just realized that, too!
posted 33 weeks ago
  31 kasulked
yea what a great day, made up for Wednesday......rally, rally, rally.....
posted 33 weeks ago
what i wouldn't do for $1000 on 12,400.....
posted 33 weeks ago
would've been a shame if *everyone* lost on this one!
posted 33 weeks ago
  34 kasulked
looks like it will just under 12400 yea rally, rally, rally
posted 33 weeks ago
phew.... glad it stopped
posted 33 weeks ago
  36 kasulked
nope won big time today, started with about H$200 and will end with H$6000 yea
posted 33 weeks ago
  37 widescreen
Settle that sucker. This dish is done.
posted 33 weeks ago
:-0
posted 33 weeks ago
  39 bayoubear[Admin]
WOW...what an ending...didn't get to watch the last few minutes, but my $20 just made about $4000.....Hope everyone else enjoyed it too.........
posted 33 weeks ago

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