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Which country will win the most gold medals at the 2008 Beijing Olympics?

Background: USA only won by 4 gold medals in 2004. Host country China is putting in a lot of effort.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Russia
1%
USA
1%
Australia
0%
Japan
0%
China
98%
Other
0%
Settled as China on Sun 24th Aug 2008 4:42pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 27th Aug 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2008 4:42pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Russia: 20%, USA: 25%, Australia: 10%, Japan: 15%, China: 20%, Other: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 24th Mar 2008 1:58pm PST by seth
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Fri 8th Aug 2008 3:01pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: market being reopened during olympics
Suspended Thu 21st Aug 2008 2:47pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending review of suspension date and settlement. by a category editor.
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 2008 5:42am PST by jake: Settle as China.

http://www.nbcolympics.com/
Settled as 'China' Sun 24th Aug 2008 4:42pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Suspend date: Wed 27th Aug 2008 7:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2008 4:42pm PST details

 

Predictions (475)

1 year ago
ndpendent predicted China (H$100 at 93%)
1 year ago
yoga predicted China (H$100 at 93%)
1 year ago
lndean predicted USA (H$100 at 7%)
1 year ago
bcguelph predicted USA (H$100 at 4%)
1 year ago
robin predicted China (H$100 at 93%)

Comments (3)

this market has been reopened and the suspend date moved back
posted 1 year ago
  3 spyder
All the track events are still up. I think the US will beat the Chinese there.
posted 1 year ago

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