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Which country will win the most medals at the Vancouver Olympics in 2010?

Background: Germany won in 2006, and Canada is putting in a lot of effort as host country.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Switzerland
0%
USA
18%
Canada
52%
Germany
29%
Russia
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
0%
Other
0%
Settled as USA on Sun 28th Feb 4:01pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 11th Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 28th Feb 4:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Switzerland: 10%, USA: 14%, Canada: 14%, Germany: 14%, Russia: 13%, Austria: 14%, Sweden: 13%, Other: 8%

Action history:

Created Mon 24th Mar 2008 1:42pm PST by seth
Suspended Thu 11th Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 27th Feb 8:45pm PST by pitchedoutsideleg[Power User]: USA 7 up with two events left
http://www.vancouver2010.com/olympic-medals/
Settlement requested Sun 28th Feb 4:04am PST by robr: The USA now has 36 medals. This is 7 more than their nearest competitor with only 2 medals left to be decided.
http://winterolympics.external.bbc.co.uk/medals/2010-standings/index.html

Suspend date: Thu 11th Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 28th Feb 4:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (212)

5 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Power User] predicted Canada (H$100 at 54%)
5 weeks ago
slate predicted Germany (H$300 at 22%)
5 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Canada (H$2,000 at 47%)
5 weeks ago
unicycleguy1 predicted Canada (H$20 at 27%)
5 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted Germany (H$300 at 23%)

Comments (5)

  1 paulcroft
Yikes ...haven't even got to the 2008 Olympics yet and we have a 2010 question!!!!! Good question though... I think the odds are a little skewed to start. USA should be closer to Canada/Germany.
posted 1 year ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
mrperfkt,
thanks for the prompt settlement of all these Olympia questions
posted 2 weeks ago

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