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Which movie will be #1 at the american box office for Feb 14-17?

Settled as jumper

#1 calculated by total monetary earnings over a four day period. Feb 14th is valentine's day and all the new movies are supposed to open on that date except one. Suspension at 11pm PST friday.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

definitely,maybe
19%
jumper
69%
the spiderwick chronicles
4%
step up 2 the streets
5%
other
3%
Activity: H$31,220
Settled as jumper on Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:37am PST

Suspend date: Fri 15th Feb 2008 11pm PST Settlement date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:37am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Feb 2008 11pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: definitely,maybe: 25%, jumper: 25%, the spiderwick chronicles: 25%, step up 2 the streets: 15%, other: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 3rd Feb 2008 7:24pm PST by pics4d
Suspended Fri 15th Feb 2008 11pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'jumper' Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:37am PST by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 15th Feb 2008 11pm PST Settlement date: Mon 18th Feb 2008 12:37am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th Feb 2008 11pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (137)

137 predictions

46 weeks ago
brianholmes predicted jumper (H$75 at 68%)
46 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted step up 2 the streets (H$16 at 4%)
46 weeks ago
mitra predicted jumper (H$100 at 76%)
46 weeks ago
xplictlyur predicted step up 2 the streets (H$100 at 2%)
46 weeks ago
xplictlyur predicted step up 2 the streets (H$100 at 11%)
more

Comments (10)

  1 pics4d
the movie that opens on the 15th is Me & You, Us, Forever
posted 48 weeks ago
  2 raneym
Yall understand this is valetine's day weekend so everyone want to go see a romatic movie. SO not jumper or the spiderwick chronicles but Definitely,Maybe falls under that category.
posted 47 weeks ago
does this include movies that are already out? The question isn't clear but I'm assuming it means which movie that is openning this weekend will be #1 and will ignore movies that are currently out.
posted 47 weeks ago
Question seems clear to me, it is OF THESE 5 MOVIES which will be #1 over the rest of them, NOT #1 overall box office, though that is vey likely to occur anyway since it is a new slate of films.
posted 47 weeks ago
HSX shows that Jumper "should" earn over $27mil, Spiderwick "should" earn around $20mil, and Def/Maybe "should" earn around $13mil. I am not predicting these outcomes, just sharing what info I found on HSX.com... So yeah, bed at your own risks :-D
posted 47 weeks ago
oops, BET (not bed) at your own risks, hahaha
posted 47 weeks ago
obviously jmper is much more heavily advertised but it is valentines day
posted 47 weeks ago
  8 pics4d
the question is which movie is #1, not which of the new movies makes more money...if a previously released movie is #1, that would be "other"...also, i put ending time of 9pm on friday, but later saw rules stating movie questions would be ended at 5pm on fridays, so not sure if they'll change it or not...hope this helps
posted 47 weeks ago
JUST IN..... According to www.the-numbers.com ... Step Up 2 the Streets earned $6.600 million in its first day on just 2,470 screens and is currently #2, and the #1 is Jumper playing on WAY more 3,402 screens and earned $6.625 million ... This is gonna be a CLOSE weekend man!!!
posted 46 weeks ago
  10 pics4d
lol...so much for everyone wanting to see definitely, maybe...was fourth on valentines
1. Jumper -- $6.63 m, $6.63 m
2. Step Up 2 the Streets -- $6.60 m, $6.60 m
3. Fool's Gold -- $3.55 m, $28.95 m
4. Definitely, Maybe -- $3.12 m, $3.12 m
5. The Spiderwick Chronicles -- $2.31 m, $2.31 m


jumper had 8.7 million on friday vs. 6.3 for step up 2 the streets
posted 46 weeks ago

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