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Which news site, MSNBC or FOX will have more visitors by May 31st?

Voided

Unfortunately I have to void this market. When I created the market I wasn't specific enough with settlement details as well as not being definitive on whether the site was Fox or Fox news. But because the market got pretty active I've created a duplicate of this market here:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_site_MSNBCcom_or_FOXcom_will_have_more_visitors_by_the_end_of_May_5567/view

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by compete.com
To settle on the date specified use compete.com and match up msnbc.com and fox.com
Whoever the chart shows ahead at the settlement date is the winner.

 
Forecast history %
Tie
11%
MSNBC
23%
FOX
66%
Voided Wed 9th Apr 2008 5:58am PST

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Tie: 20%, MSNBC: 40%, FOX: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Apr 2008 9:01pm PST by ryanj
Edited Sun 6th Apr 2008 9:17pm PST by ryanj
Voided Wed 9th Apr 2008 5:58am PST by ryanj: Unfortunately I have to void this market. When I created the market I wasn't specific enough with settlement details as well as not being definitive on whether the site was Fox or Fox news. But because the market got pretty active I've created a duplicate of this market here:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Which_site_MSNBCcom_or_FOXcom_will_have_more_visitors_by_the_end_of_May_5567/view

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (49)

1 year ago
onevision predicted MSNBC (H$50 at 64%)
1 year ago
henrichin predicted MSNBC (H$20 at 63%)
1 year ago
tropicalbreeze predicted MSNBC (H$50 at 42%)
1 year ago
andechs predicted MSNBC (H$20 at 42%)
1 year ago
dan_the_omniscient predicted FOX (H$1,000 at 47%)

Comments (17)

the opening odds on this one seem way off to me. im not looking at statistics atm, but isnt it common knowledge that [p]msnbc is far less popular than fox? and arent the odds of a tie almost incalculably remote?
posted 1 year ago
lol, Dan, "[p]msnbc" Funny!!!
posted 1 year ago
cant take credit. its a rush-ism. back, before he was a hypocritical dope-fiend. ;-)
posted 1 year ago
there's that hypocrite card again. it's going away as fast as "katrina was botched". poor fat guy gets addicted to back pain medication and then thrown under the bus newt-style. fat guys get back pain man! sorry dan.
posted 1 year ago
i dont call him a hypocrite for his back pain and subsequent addiction. i call him a hypocrite for lambasting libertarians that call his show over there being "no right to privacy" (rush's words), then having his attorney argue in court that rush's medical records shouldnt be unsealed in the criminal investigation because of rush's "right to [medical] privacy".
posted 1 year ago
  7 rohan
MSNBC is ahead
posted 1 year ago
ah, but fox.com is not a "news site". however foxnews.com IS: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/msnbc.com+foxnews.com/?metric=uv

how about some clarification from the author?
posted 1 year ago
look at the settlement details. its fox.com and msnbc.com (rohan's link)
posted 1 year ago
ill be damned. i still think its a mistake, but im cashing out since its clear.
posted 1 year ago
  12 sdchargers[Power User]
is fox.com really a "news site" like question asks? kinda tricky in way questioned.
most new people who just bet and dont look at settlement details would assume from question being "news site" you mean msnbc and foxnews.
posted 1 year ago
I did gloss through the settlement details but the fact it said "fox.com" didn't stand out (to me, anyway). And when you say "Fox" and "news site" in the same sentence, people in the U.S. do assume you're talking about Fox News (i.e. foxnews.com). At any rate, I did get suckered into thinking that the question referred to MSNBC vs. Fox News, and put H$ on it. Granted I have a vested interest in saying this, but I think this should be voided now because of the confusion.
posted 1 year ago
its certainly deceptive. but hopefully our discussion will shine some light on it for others who might wager under the same misconception that we were under.
posted 1 year ago
I have no interest in this question at all, H$-wise, and I read it the same way: Fox.com is not a news site, and if i want to see the propaganda....uh,umm...."news"... that fox has to offer, i go to foxnews.com. Otherwise, this question should be voided. There is no mention of fox.com vs. foxnews.com. It is implicit in the question that the cites be news-related. What about msnbc.info vs. fox.org? So, here we have a legitimate argument as to the question itself.... hope I have helped in some small, independent way.
-Michael
posted 1 year ago
  16 dieseldog
if you use the settlement rules (it says fox.com vs msnbc.com) and to use compete.com as the source..then at the moment fox is winning. http://siteanalytics.compete.com/fox.com+msnbc.com/?metric=uv good luck trying to figure out which (foxnews.com or fox.com) ryan is referring to. as already stated fox.com ain't a news site. the question says "which news site" settlement details uses a non news site..he can go either way. ryan splits hairs more than any barber i know.
posted 1 year ago
  17 destry[Admin]
This is very simple to satisfy everyones debate about fox.com versus foxnews.com, in the reporting of site visitors fox.com gets credit for foxnews.com, so if you visit foxnews.com then it credits fox.com. I have more a question about when this question settles. Seeing how compete.com does not do daily updates and thier monthly results take a week or so to update. Are we waiting to see which one is ahead after the month of May? Because on May 31st, it will still have April results posted on the site. I am confused.
posted 1 year ago

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