Which price will NYMEX light crude oil hit first - $120 or $85 per barrel?

Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Mon 5th May 2008 2:18pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 2:18pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 120: 50%, 85: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 21st Feb 2008 7:30am PST by guido

Edited Thu 13th Mar 2008 12:43am PST by andrew

Settlement requested Fri 25th Apr 2008 1:36pm PST by mork: I just mistakenly flagged this for review for wrong starting odds....sorry....I didnt realze this question is over two months old.

Settlement requested Mon 5th May 2008 1:48pm PST by lucidstates: Crude oil for June delivery closed at $119.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up $3.65, or 3.1%, for the regular trading session. The contract climbed as high as $120.36 in electronic trading. The prices surpassed the record electronic high of $119.93 set on April 28.
The Link:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/oil-futures-near-120-end/story.aspx?guid=%7BAC1993F9%2D3413%2D4D9F%2DA335%2DF8C3F96C12E3%7D&dist=news

Thanks,

lucidstates

Settled as '120' Mon 5th May 2008 2:18pm PST by andrew: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/record-high-oil-prices-clobber-airlines/story.aspx?guid=%7B14A8E881-C1EE-47AF-A861-EBC64FAD215F%7D&dist=msr_1
http://www.guardian.co.uk/feedarticle?id=7500851
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/oil-futures-near-120-end/story.aspx?guid=%7BAC1993F9%2D3413%2D4D9F%2DA335%2DF8C3F96C12E3%7D&dist=news

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Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Mon 5th May 2008 2:18pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 5th May 2008 2:18pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details