Created Wed 30th Apr 2008 1:11am PST by
pepe
Which type of plane will crash next?
Voided
Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
Background:>
Background: Crash with no survivors.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$38,291 |
- Predictions: 27 |
Comments: 10
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Airbus: 45%, Boeing: 45%, other: 10%
Action history:
Created Wed 30th Apr 2008 1:11am PST by
pepe
Settlement requested Sun 11th May 2008 12:31pm PST by
belarusia
: answer is "other"
http://www.cleveland.com/newsflash/index.ssf?/base/international-8/1209815042263390.xml&storylist=topstories
http://www.cleveland.com/newsflash/index.ssf?/base/international-8/1209815042263390.xml&storylist=topstories
Settlement requested Thu 15th May 2008 10:01am PST by
belarusia
: http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/05/13/mcplane.ART_ART_05-13-08_B2_6EA6FNP.html?sid=101
Suspended Sat 17th May 2008 4:49pm PST by
diana
: This market was edited and I was waiting to hear from the market creator and/or hubdub team to see if the meaning of this market was altered in any sort of way. Also, if it is found that private planes are included in this market, all reports of plane crashes from the time that the market was created will be checked.
Voided Sun 18th May 2008 1:52am PST by
diana
: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST details
Predictions (27)
Comments (10)
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Columbus Dispatch 1 year ago
The bodies of two people were found at the site of a plane crash in Morgan County yesterday.. . The plane crashed just before 1:30 p.m. in woods...
score: 10
BBC News 1 year ago
Two escape unhurt in plane crash . Two people have escaped unhurt after their plane crashed, losing both wings and splitting the fuselage in two at...
score: 10
cleveland.com 1 year ago
A top southern Sudanese official says a the plane crash that killed 24 people including key government officials was caused by a technical ...
score: 10
Marshfield News-Herald 1 year ago
Before jury selection in the Marshfield plane crash wrongful death lawsuit got underway Wednesday morning, settlements with two of the defendants ...
score: 10
Calgary Herald 1 year ago
Investigation - Structural failure is being blamed for an airplane crash that killed a Granum man last week.. . Transportation Safety Board...

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There was a settlement request for this story, but a Beechcraft 1900 is not a large commercial plane.
Today 1:52am PST
Reason: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
I don't see anything vague.
(BTW, when you see something with odds WILDLY different than you think they should be.. say 'other' at 10% when it should be near 95%, you should flag it for 1) clarification in case you are misunderstanding the question or 2) bad initial odds... this lessens headaches and shouting matches at settlement)
The Starting odds only make sense if the 'other' category is limited to planes of the same stature of the other two categories.
If one considers all the components of the question including the starting odds, and applies a bit of common sense this should be easily presumed IMHO.
A little bit of common sense belarus...It might help you stop sounding so abusive too...it appears you`re just guessing and then trying to bitch your way out of a bad bet.
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