Created Wed 30th Apr 2:11am PDT by
pepe
All questions » General » Tragedy » Which type of plane will crash next?
Voided
Crash with no survivors.
Voided
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Airbus |
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Boeing |
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other |
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Sun 18th May 2:52am PDT
Reason: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
Reason: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 12:59am PDT
Initial likelihoods:
Airbus: 45%, Boeing: 45%, other: 10%
Action history:
Created Wed 30th Apr 2:11am PDT by
pepe
Settlement requested Sun 11th May 1:31pm PDT by
belarusia: answer is "other"
http://www.cleveland.com/newsflash/index.ssf?/base/international-8/1209815042263390.xml&storylist=topstories
http://www.cleveland.com/newsflash/index.ssf?/base/international-8/1209815042263390.xml&storylist=topstories
Settlement requested Thu 15th May 11:01am PDT by
belarusia: http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/05/13/mcplane.ART_ART_05-13-08_B2_6EA6FNP.html?sid=101
Suspended Sat 17th May 5:49pm PDT by
diana: This market was edited and I was waiting to hear from the market creator and/or hubdub team to see if the meaning of this market was altered in any sort of way. Also, if it is found that private planes are included in this market, all reports of plane crashes from the time that the market was created will be checked.
Voided Sun 18th May 2:52am PDT by
diana: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (27)
27 predictions
Comments (10)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Columbus Dispatch 15 weeks ago
The bodies of two people were found at the site of a plane crash in Morgan County yesterday.. . The plane crashed just before 1:30 p.m. in woods...
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BBC News 16 weeks ago
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cleveland.com 17 weeks ago
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Marshfield News-Herald 17 weeks ago
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Calgary Herald 17 weeks ago
Investigation - Structural failure is being blamed for an airplane crash that killed a Granum man last week.. . Transportation Safety Board...






There was a settlement request for this story, but a Beechcraft 1900 is not a large commercial plane.
Today 1:52am PST
Reason: Market needs clarification--type of aircraft is vague.
I don't see anything vague.
(BTW, when you see something with odds WILDLY different than you think they should be.. say 'other' at 10% when it should be near 95%, you should flag it for 1) clarification in case you are misunderstanding the question or 2) bad initial odds... this lessens headaches and shouting matches at settlement)
The Starting odds only make sense if the 'other' category is limited to planes of the same stature of the other two categories.
If one considers all the components of the question including the starting odds, and applies a bit of common sense this should be easily presumed IMHO.
A little bit of common sense belarus...It might help you stop sounding so abusive too...it appears you`re just guessing and then trying to bitch your way out of a bad bet.
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