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Who will be the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee?

Current forecast: None of the below (81% chance2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is None of the below with a probability of 81% (down 2% in last 1 day)

 
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None of the below
81%
John Edwards
4%
Barack Obama
1%
Hillary Clinton
7%
Bill Richardson
7%
Activity: H$80,341
Question suspends in 2 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by any major media news outlet.

Suspend date: Tue 26th Aug 12:59am PDT (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: None of the below: 30%, John Edwards: 20%, Barack Obama: 15%, Hillary Clinton: 15%, Bill Richardson: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 16th Jan 1:26am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 4:01pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: test
Unsuspended Thu 31st Jul 4:01pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: test
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by any major media news outlet.... read all

 

Predictions

3 days ago
nikdahl predicted None of the below (H$100 at 74%)
4 days ago
bigken1 predicted Hillary Clinton (H$300 at 11%)
5 days ago
hunter predicted Hillary Clinton (H$20 at 6%)
6 days ago
hippyboomer predicted None of the below (H$40 at 80%)
1 week ago
capecodviking predicted None of the below (H$20 at 79%)
more

Comments

Lol... I like how "none of the above" is at the top of the list.
posted 19 weeks ago
should I be a hubdub jerk? ^_^

technically it can't be "none of the above" because there are none above it, and there will be a VP. Void the question I say, before someone loses their mind over this madness! lol
posted 8 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
Hehe...

All fixed now.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 8 weeks ago
Also, to be nit picky, it should read "Democrat", not "Democratic"...
posted 4 weeks ago
  5 bayoubear[Admin]
OK..this is really a short list of possibilties...after all, we know it ain't gonna be Barack...and most likely not Hillary (does not seem to be a love fest going on) . . . so we're left with the bearded Bill Richardson, the past VP nominee, and anyone else.

Maybe a little more interest in Edwards...take a look at this from Newsweek:

In an interview with NPR on Tuesday Edwards said" I don’t expect to be asked, have no expectation about it at all," he said. "[But] I am prepared to seriously consider anything, anything [Obama] asks me to do for our country.”
<<Edwards' open-door answer on NPR wasn't noteworthy in and of itself. Dispensing the usual "don't expect it, haven't pursued it" disclaimers, he sounded exactly like the rest of Obama's expectant veeps--Evan Bayh, Kathleen Sebelius, Hillary Clinton, etc. But that's the thing: until now, Edwards has consistently showed active, unbridled antipathy to the idea of reprising his role as the Democrats' vice presidential nominee .>>

http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/07/09/the-obama-veepwatch-vol-6-john-edwards.aspx

So, does this up the chances for the boy from North Carolina...he'll carry 'some' weight in his state, as well as help out probably in WV and with lower income white democrats throughout the South in particular...
posted 4 weeks ago
  6 cognos[Power User]
...after first seeming to take himself out of the running, he put himself back in the race two weeks ago, telling NPR, "I'm prepared to seriously consider anything, anything [Obama] asks me to do for our country."

Then this ...
http://opinion.latimes.com/opinionla/2008/07/john-edwards-af.html

<<< still unconfirmed, and Edwards of course, is denying it >>>

But yesterday — the day the Enquirer story went live — the Rocky Mountain News reported, "former Sen. John Edwards told a Denver audience Tuesday that now he's plunged into a new kind of campaign, 'to end poverty as we know it in a generation.'"

"None of the below" is sounding like a lock.
posted 2 weeks ago

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