Created Mon 14th Jan 2008 12:23pm PST by

Who will be the 2008 Republican candidate for President?

Settled as John McCain

McCain is now the Republican nominee for President.

Background:

Background: The contest to become the Republican nominee for President of the United States is one of the most exciting and hotly contested races in a generation. Who will be the nominee in the fall election?

Settlement details:By official selection at the Republican National Convention. May be settled earlier based on official committed delegate count as determined by performance in presidential primaries.

Forecast history %

Rudy Giuliani

Mike Huckabee

John McCain

99%

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Fred Thompson

Someone else

Settled as John McCain on Wed 5th Mar 2008 2:08pm PST

Activity: H$160,806
Predictions: 743
Comments: 8

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 2008 2:08pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Rudy Giuliani: 20%, Mike Huckabee: 30%, John McCain: 20%, Ron Paul: 5%, Mitt Romney: 15%, Fred Thompson: 9%, Someone else: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jan 2008 12:23pm PST by

jedc

Settlement requested Wed 5th Mar 2008 1:20pm PST by

mtt9701 Level 12, Guru (H$30,766)

: http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080305/pl_nm/usa_politics_mccain_speech_dc;_ylt=Aiv2cIqCKWX6lfraYFf7tU0a.3QA

Settled as 'John McCain' Wed 5th Mar 2008 2:08pm PST by

ryanj

: McCain is now the Republican nominee for President.

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Predictions (743)

1 year ago

constantskeptic Level 5, Predictor (H$1,625)

predicted John McCain (H$100 at 99%)

1 year ago

brgnbob Level 2, Novice (H$1,067)

predicted John McCain (H$100 at 99%)

1 year ago

chrisawol Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

predicted John McCain (H$100 at 95%)

1 year ago

jakob

predicted John McCain (H$50 at 92%)

1 year ago

yeswecan Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,214)

predicted John McCain (H$100 at 93%)

Comments (8)

ryanj

I've edited the tags for this question as the market had to many which weren't providing news.

posted 1 year ago

measure Level 10, Genius (H$11,192)

Mccain is too liberal to get the republican nomination. Romney is the best-financed candidate, and has the right ideological viewpoint to please the conservatives.

I don't think he will become presidnent, but it's pretty clear at this point that he's getting the nomination.

posted 1 year ago

prodaea Level 1, Newbie (H$947)

I've never understood the hubbub about McCain. He's basically a republican flavored democrat. Besides with Romney's second place winnings he's actually got more delegates than McCain. (all of that could change next week, but still)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/

posted 1 year ago

thehistoryofwar Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

Romney's too North-East Conservative to ever do much outside of that base... Guliani was a joke to begin with... Huckabee is too wild... Thompson never seemed to really give a damn... Unfortunately, McCain is the only one with mass appeal...

posted 1 year ago

harvey Level 5, Predictor (H$1,839)

If the United States ever needed a true conservative, the time is now. Mitt Romney fills that need.

posted 1 year ago

frank2877 Level 11, Legend (H$22,469)

I think it will come down to who can beat the Clintons and McCain is the Republicans best hope. How about a McCain/Thompson ticket?

posted 1 year ago

wscollegeg Level 7, Pro (H$3,988)

I think it will be a brokered convention with more of the delegates going to Mitt, McCain has little to offer more than war experience, I think he would make a good Secretary of Defense

posted 1 year ago

cancelledbysbc Level 6, Player (H$2,337)

I Just Watched The Mtv / Myspace Mini-Interactive-Debate And 20% of Responses For Online Polling Came From Under 18 Years Old And 10% Didn't Plan To Vote Either By Not Registering To Vote Or By Simply Not Wanting Too!
So Up To 30% Of People Who Will Not Effect The Actual Election, Are Being Considered For Online Statistical Polling Purposes!
I Would Say, In Light Of That Hillary Clintons SLIM Lead Is ACTUALLY Up To 30% Higher Since Obama Is Known To Attract Young Voters.
What Do Other People Think, Concerning The Accuracy Of What The Polls Are Showing?

posted 1 year ago

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