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Created Mon 14th Jan 12:23pm PST by jedc
All questions » Politics » 

Who will be the 2008 Republican candidate for President?

Settled as John McCain

The contest to become the Republican nominee for President of the United States is one of the most exciting and hotly contested races in a generation. Who will be the nominee in the fall election?
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

 Rudy Giuliani
0%
Mike Huckabee
0%
John McCain
99%
Ron Paul
0%
Mitt Romney
0%
Fred Thompson
0%
Someone else
1%
Activity: H$160,806
Settled as John McCain on Wed 5th Mar 2:08pm PST
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: By official selection at the Republican National Convention. May be settled earlier based on official committed delegate count as determined by performance in presidential primaries.

Suspend date: this Friday 12:59am PDT (5 days to go)

Settlement date: Wed 5th Mar 2:08pm PST

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Mar 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Rudy Giuliani: 20%, Mike Huckabee: 30%, John McCain: 20%, Ron Paul: 5%, Mitt Romney: 15%, Fred Thompson: 9%, Someone else: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Jan 12:23pm PST by jedc
Settlement requested Wed 5th Mar 1:20pm PST by mtt9701: http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080305/pl_nm/usa_politics_mccain_speech_dc;_ylt=Aiv2cIqCKWX6lfraYFf7tU0a.3QA
Settled as 'John McCain' Wed 5th Mar 2:08pm PST by ryanj[Admin]: McCain is now the Republican nominee for President.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: By official selection at the Republican National Convention. May be settled earlier based on official committed delegate count as determined by performance in presidential primaries.... read all

 

Predictions (743)

743 predictions

25 weeks ago
constantskeptic predicted John McCain (H$100 at 99%)
25 weeks ago
brgnbob predicted John McCain (H$100 at 99%)
25 weeks ago
chrisawol predicted John McCain (H$100 at 95%)
25 weeks ago
jakob predicted John McCain (H$50 at 92%)
25 weeks ago
yeswecan predicted John McCain (H$100 at 93%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 ryanj[Admin]
I've edited the tags for this question as the market had to many which weren't providing news.
posted 31 weeks ago
  2 measure
Mccain is too liberal to get the republican nomination. Romney is the best-financed candidate, and has the right ideological viewpoint to please the conservatives.

I don't think he will become presidnent, but it's pretty clear at this point that he's getting the nomination.
posted 30 weeks ago
  3 prodaea
I've never understood the hubbub about McCain. He's basically a republican flavored democrat. Besides with Romney's second place winnings he's actually got more delegates than McCain. (all of that could change next week, but still)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/
posted 30 weeks ago
  4 thehistoryofwar
Romney's too North-East Conservative to ever do much outside of that base... Guliani was a joke to begin with... Huckabee is too wild... Thompson never seemed to really give a damn... Unfortunately, McCain is the only one with mass appeal...
posted 30 weeks ago
  5 harvey
If the United States ever needed a true conservative, the time is now. Mitt Romney fills that need.
posted 30 weeks ago
  6 frank2877
I think it will come down to who can beat the Clintons and McCain is the Republicans best hope. How about a McCain/Thompson ticket?
posted 30 weeks ago
  7 wscollegeg
I think it will be a brokered convention with more of the delegates going to Mitt, McCain has little to offer more than war experience, I think he would make a good Secretary of Defense
posted 30 weeks ago
  8 cancelledbysbc
I Just Watched The Mtv / Myspace Mini-Interactive-Debate And 20% of Responses For Online Polling Came From Under 18 Years Old And 10% Didn't Plan To Vote Either By Not Registering To Vote Or By Simply Not Wanting Too!
So Up To 30% Of People Who Will Not Effect The Actual Election, Are Being Considered For Online Statistical Polling Purposes!
I Would Say, In Light Of That Hillary Clintons SLIM Lead Is ACTUALLY Up To 30% Higher Since Obama Is Known To Attract Young Voters.
What Do Other People Think, Concerning The Accuracy Of What The Polls Are Showing?
posted 29 weeks ago

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