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Who will be the World Chess Champion at the end of 2008

Current forecast: Viswanathan Anand (54% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Viswanathan Anand with a probability of 54% (unchanged in last 1 day)

A 12 game Chess match will be played by Vladimir Kramnik (Russia) and the current champion, Viswanathan Anand (India), in October 2008 (11-30th).
 
% chance over time
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Make your prediction!

Vladimir Kramnik
46%
Viswanathan Anand
54%
Activity: H$1,363
Question suspends in 10 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 12:59am PDT (10 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Vladimir Kramnik: 53%, Viswanathan Anand: 47%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 1:09pm PST by galaxy
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:21pm PST by lesley[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

24 weeks ago
edogg predicted Viswanathan Anand (H$50 at 47%)
24 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Vladimir Kramnik (H$300 at 51%)
26 weeks ago
bigken predicted Viswanathan Anand (H$50 at 54%)
26 weeks ago
shadowfax predicted Viswanathan Anand (H$16 at 54%)
28 weeks ago
rahulcoolrulz predicted Viswanathan Anand (H$100 at 51%)
more

Comments

  1 shadowfax
great prediction market galaxy! this is what makes hd unique and fun!
posted 26 weeks ago
I still miss Kasporov
posted 19 weeks ago

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