Created Fri 1st Feb 2008 8:35pm PST by 
ratel
ratel 
Who will be the first "President of Europe"?
Background: The EU council of ministers will soon have a permanent chair called the president. This role and several others will be decided in the second half of the year. There are a number of current contenders, will one of them be selected? It is not an elected role.
Editor's clarification: There's no recent news about a date for selection, so this question has been extended for 3 months. It will remain open until a selection is made (or is at least immanent).
Dec 2 Update: It appears that this will be decided some time in December (the job starts in Jan 2009) at a summit of the European Council. This may be a mid-Dec summit or another at the end of month. Question suspend date changed to end of Dec, but will settle upon news. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7371840.stm
Jan 2009 update: It turns out that the position referred to in this question does not exist until (if?) the Lisbon Treaty comes into effect. Until that time, the Presidency continues to be changed from country to country every 6 months (France has just been replaced by the Czech Republic). So this question should remain open until either a "Pres. of Europe" is selected, or it becomes clear that Lisbon doesn't become law.
Editor's clarification: There's no recent news about a date for selection, so this question has been extended for 3 months. It will remain open until a selection is made (or is at least immanent).
Dec 2 Update: It appears that this will be decided some time in December (the job starts in Jan 2009) at a summit of the European Council. This may be a mid-Dec summit or another at the end of month. Question suspend date changed to end of Dec, but will settle upon news. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7371840.stm
Jan 2009 update: It turns out that the position referred to in this question does not exist until (if?) the Lisbon Treaty comes into effect. Until that time, the Presidency continues to be changed from country to country every 6 months (France has just been replaced by the Czech Republic). So this question should remain open until either a "Pres. of Europe" is selected, or it becomes clear that Lisbon doesn't become law.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. (Obsolete: It sounds like this will happen in the summer after the French presidency of the EU ends. So I'm putting Sept 1, but if a solid date is set for the appointment it should be changed to that.)
Forecast history %
| Manuel Barroso |
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| Tony Blair |
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| Wolfgang Schüssel |
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| Jean-Claude Juncker |
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| Bono |
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| Bertie Ahern |
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| Someone Else |
|
Question suspends in 11 weeks
- Activity: H$78,337 |
- Predictions: 278 |
Comments: 11
Suspend date: Sat 30th Jan 2010 2:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Manuel Barroso: 16%, Tony Blair: 16%, Wolfgang Schüssel: 16%, Jean-Claude Juncker: 16%, Bono: 1%, Bertie Ahern: 5%, Someone Else: 30%
Action history:
Created Fri 1st Feb 2008 8:35pm PST by ratel
ratel 
chris![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Suspended Mon 1st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Description Tue 2nd Dec 2008 3:39am PST by 
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... (or is at least immanent).).<br/> <br/> <b> Dec 2 Update: </b> It appears that this will be decided some time in December (the job starts in Jan 2009) at a summit of the European Council. This may be a mid-Dec summit or another at the end of month. Question suspend date changed to end of Dec, but will settle upon news.
Unsuspended Tue 2nd Dec 2008 3:40am PST by infernalmachine: Decision to be made in December, so suspend date moved to end of month.
infernalmachine: Decision to be made in December, so suspend date moved to end of month.
Changed Description Tue 2nd Dec 2008 3:43am PST by infernalmachine: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... Dec, but will settle upon news. <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7371840.stm">http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7371840.stm</a>
Changed Settlement info Tue 2nd Dec 2008 3:43am PST by infernalmachine: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... a major mainstream news source. . (<i>Obsolete: </i>It sounds like this will ... should be changed to that..)
Suspended Tue 30th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Description Sat 3rd Jan 9:53pm PST by infernalmachine: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... /hi/europe/7371840.stm</a><br/> <br/> <b>Jan 2009 update: </b> It turns out that the position referred to in this question does not exist until (if?) the Lisbon Treaty comes into effect. Until that time, the Presidency continues to be changed from country to country every 6 months (France has just been replaced by the Czech Republic). So this question should remain open until either a "Pres. of Europe" is selected
Changed Description Sat 3rd Jan 9:55pm PST by infernalmachine: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... "Pres. of Europe" is selected
Suspend date: Sat 30th Jan 2010 2:59pm PST (11 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (278)
hoernla
predicted Someone Else (H$400 at 84%)
kruijs
predicted Someone Else (H$1,000 at 78%)
bernardo
predicted Someone Else (H$2,000 at 57%)Comments (11)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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Related Tags
He will get control of the EU.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_the_European_Council
http://www.euractiv.com/en/future-eu/crises-send-blair-top-eu-presidency-list/article-178431
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