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Recent predictions

1 week ago
No user imageexilpat predicted Jean-Claude Juncker (H$50)
1 week ago
No user imagewojtek predicted Tony Blair (H$50)
4 weeks ago
No user imagebgrigore predicted Someone Else (H$50)

Who will be the first "President of Europe"?

Forecast: Someone Else (38% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Someone Else with a probability of 38% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The EU council of ministers will soon have a permanent chair called the president. This role and several others will be decided in the second half of the year. There are a number of current contenders, will one of them be selected? It is not an elected role.

 
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Manuel Barroso
12%
Tony Blair
12%
Wolfgang Schüssel
9%
Jean-Claude Juncker
26%
Bono
1%
Bertie Ahern
3%
Someone Else
38%
Total activity: H$2,789
Question suspends in 14 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. It sounds like this will happen in the summer after the French presidency of the EU ends. So I'm putting Sept 1, but if a solid date is set for the appointment it should be changed to that. read less

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details (some hidden): As reported by a major mainstream news source. It sounds like this will happen in the summer after the French presidency of the EU ends. So I'm putting Sept 1, but if a solid date is set for the app... read all

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 11:59pm PST (14 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. It sounds like this will happen in the summer after the French presidency of the EU ends. So I'm putting Sept 1, but if a solid date is set for the appointment it should be changed to that.
  • Initial likelihoods: Manuel Barroso: 16%, Tony Blair: 16%, Wolfgang Schüssel: 16%, Jean-Claude Juncker: 16%, Bono: 1%, Bertie Ahern: 5%, Someone Else: 30%
Created Fri 1st Feb 8:35pm PST by No user imageratel
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:55pm PST by chris[Admin]
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Audio: Inside Europe The Inside Take on European Affairs


Inside Europe examines Europe's fight against climate change. Have biofuels run out of steam? ?Greening up? the airline industry. We also look at...
Page: 1
How about Edmond Stoiber?
He will get control of the EU.
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 donal[Admin]
Bono..........If there is truly a 1% chance of that happening, I am rather alarmed
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 No user imagepeterww
Bono probably has a better shot than Bertie Ahern (on whom I bet), now that Ahern has had to resign his post amid scandal in Ireland.
posted 6 weeks ago

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Who will be the first "President of Europe"?
Manuel Barroso
Tony Blair
Wolfgang Schüssel
Jean-Claude Juncker
Bono
Bertie Ahern
Someone Else
1 week ago
No user imageexilpat predicted Jean-Claude Juncker (H$50)
1 week ago
No user imagewojtek predicted Tony Blair (H$50)
4 weeks ago
No user imagebgrigore predicted Someone Else (H$50)
6 weeks ago
kruijs predicted Someone Else (H$300)
6 weeks ago
kruijs predicted Manuel Barroso (H$100)
7 weeks ago
No user imagepeterww predicted Someone Else (H$85)
8 weeks ago
No user imagetharoo predicted Jean-Claude Juncker (H$20)
10 weeks ago
pepe predicted Someone Else (H$100)
11 weeks ago
No user imagehoernla predicted Jean-Claude Juncker (H$50)
11 weeks ago
No user imagepeterww predicted Tony Blair (H$50)