Who will be the last male contestant to be voted off of American Idol this year?
Settled as David Archuleta
David Archuleta is the runner up on American Idol, David Cook is the winner of Season 7.
Background:>
Background: Usually the weakest performers get voted off first, but sometimes there are surprises. Who will be the last male performer to leave the show as a loser?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Who will be the last male contestant to be voted off of American Idol this year?
Chikezie
Colton Berry
Danny Noreiga
David Archuleta
David Cook or David Hernandez
Michael Johns
Garret Haley
Either Jason Castro or Jason Yeager
Robbie Carrico
Luke Menard
Zoom out
Forecast history %
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| Chikezie | |
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| Colton Berry | |
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| Danny Noreiga | |
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| David Archuleta | |
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| David Cook or David Hernandez | |
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| Michael Johns | |
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| Garret Haley | |
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| Either Jason Castro or Jason Yeager | |
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| Robbie Carrico | |
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| Luke Menard | |
Settled as David Archuleta on Thu 22nd May 2008 12:04am PST
Suspend date: Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 22nd May 2008 12:04am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Chikezie: 10%, Colton Berry: 10%, Danny Noreiga: 7%, David Archuleta: 7%, David Cook or David Hernandez: 15%, Michael Johns: 10%, Garret Haley: 10%, Either Jason Castro or Jason Yeager: 15%, Robbie Carrico: 6%, Luke Menard: 10%
Action history:
Clarified Wed 12th Mar 2008 1:16am PST by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
I read this question as "who will be the last man standing on American idol this year", whether the last male contestant is voted off, runner up or winner. This is how I am intending to settle the question.
Suspended Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Either Jason Castro or Jason Yeager' Fri 9th May 2008 4:36am PST by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
The Davids will either be winner or runner up, so the last male contestant voted off was this week's Jason Castro.
See comments page for clarification.
Previous action withdrawn Fri 9th May 2008 4:40am PST by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
Sorry, this has been settled too soon.
Previous action withdrawn Thu 22nd May 2008 12:03am PST by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
Resettled as per discussion on comments page.
Settled as 'David Archuleta' Thu 22nd May 2008 12:04am PST by
tisha![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
David Archuleta is the runner up on American Idol, David Cook is the winner of Season 7.
Suspend date: Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 22nd May 2008 12:04am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 14th Mar 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (126)
1 year ago
marks11
predicted
David Cook or David Hernandez (H$20 at 33%)
1 year ago
biged248
predicted
David Cook or David Hernandez (H$100 at 31%)
1 year ago
bobyn42
predicted
David Cook or David Hernandez (H$100 at 26%)
1 year ago
mattsnever
predicted
David Archuleta (H$100 at 29%)
Comments (30)
Isn't it great that they don't elect the Pope this way? But it DOES sound a bit like the American election. Could that be the source for this model?
Who's with me here? Maybe Tisha can provide some insight into her reasoning?
Tisha- I also don't see how this was settled early and then you said that was in error and you'd wait for a later result but then it's still settled the same way. Please explain why you think coming in second is not the same as being voted off- I don't see the difference.
1) There is no "voting off" in the finale. Only a winner. Therefore the last male voted off has to happen before the finale (here that is Jason)
2) The person who doesn't win is not a winner, so we can say he is voted off, so here that will be 2nd place (one of the David's (David A I HOPE))
My vote was for #1, but as I read it, bayoubear said #2. Tisha said she agreed with bayoubear (#2), but then reiterated #1.
At this point, I kind of think she should settle it both ways. (Am flagging now)
Last week it was settled too early, because alas if Syesha had made it through to the final, the last man voted off would have been one of the Davids.
@Tisha- comment #10 is confusing in that you seem to agree with bayoubear and then say you will rule differently.
It should not matter it if is a male or female that wins. In the comment I noted from #8 on this list, it says if Sayesha wins then David A would have been the last male voted off (assuming he is the last male and in second after all the votes), defines a second place as being voted off, no matter if they lose to a male or female... They are still the last one that did not make it all the way. #2 is not a win. Based on MY comment where you (the viewer) are NEVER voting anyone off, only for the person that wins, are you really EVER voting for the person you do not want? ie, no one is voted off, they ALL HAVE BEEN voted "ON" technically. This should remain open until we know the last male Not voted for by a majority. If it were a male and female now, it would have been the male in third if a David wins, or the person in second if Sayesha won.
With all of this considered the question should have been redefined as: Who is the last male kept on the show, being that nobody votes people off of AI, it is just figured out by the least number of "Yes's" for that contestant.
Call it semantics at this point, but I do not think if there are two males on the show still that Jason was the last make voted off (if you think that way) :)
The goal of American Idol is to win the competition- to be the last one left on the show. Every week viewers vote FOR their favorites and whoever has the fewest votes is eliminated. Just to be clear, you can't actually cast votes against contestants, so the term "voted off" probably isn't the best choice of words, but it is commonly accepted to mean the person who failed to advance. See here:
http://www.hubdub.com/m6993/Who_will_be_voted_off_of_American_Idol_on_Wednesday_May_7
and here:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Who_will_be_voted_off_of_American_Idol_on_Wednesday_April_30_6251
The competition continues week after week so now let's say we're down to the final three. One of the contests receives the fewest number of votes and fails to advance (is "voted off"). Now we're down to two. The votes are cast and one contestant has the most and the other has the least. The contestant with the most votes advances and as the only remaining contestant is declared the winner. The other contestant fails to advance (is "voted off").
Now back to the real world...
There are two male contestants in the final so the last male contestant to fail to advance will be the runner up. We don't know who that is yet so this cannot be settled.
Basically to summarize... contestants are never "voted off" American Idol, they just fail to advance. As we saw in the other hubdub questions cited above, even though contestants cannot actually be "voted off" the term "voted off" itself has been recognized to be the equivalent of "fail to advance" in its previous usage. The last male contest has not yet "failed to advance" so the last male contestant has not yet been "voted off".
Thanks for taking the time to read all of this. Hopefully it's clear enough and we can get this opened up again. Thanks for your patience Tisha and anyone else who is still following along.
I've flagged this before so apparently I can't flag it again. Could someone else flag this so we can finish working this out? Thanks!
I will re-settle this question based on which male is the runner-up in the final tonight. People who have won money on Jason Castro will keep their winnings; people who voted for the right David will also win.
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