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Who will be the next General Mayor of Bucharest, Romania?

Settled as Sorin Oprescu

Local elections will be held in Romania on June 1, 2008, and a runoff for mayors on June 15, 2008.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romanian_local_election%2C_2008

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Vasile Blaga
46%
Cristian Diaconescu
3%
Daniel Fuciu
1%
Cozmin Gusa
1%
Ludovic Orban
2%
Sorin Oprescu
46%
Aurelian Pavelescu
0%
Codrin Stefanescu
0%
Other
0%
Activity: H$22,353
Settled as Sorin Oprescu on Sun 15th Jun 1:13pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 14th Jun 2:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sun 15th Jun 1:13pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Jun 1:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Vasile Blaga: 45%, Cristian Diaconescu: 20%, Daniel Fuciu: 4%, Cozmin Gusa: 4%, Ludovic Orban: 15%, Sorin Oprescu: 7%, Aurelian Pavelescu: 2%, Codrin Stefanescu: 2%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Apr 3:46am PDT by fgadiuta
Suspended Sat 14th Jun 2:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Sorin Oprescu' Sun 15th Jun 1:13pm PDT by lesley[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (52)

52 predictions

11 weeks ago
myunion predicted Vasile Blaga (H$20 at 46%)
11 weeks ago
benway predicted Vasile Blaga (H$60 at 47%)
12 weeks ago
elly predicted Sorin Oprescu (H$1,000 at 40%)
12 weeks ago
slimysteve predicted Vasile Blaga (H$200 at 56%)
12 weeks ago
rsenics predicted Vasile Blaga (H$50 at 50%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 fgadiuta
Initial percentages according to the results of the last elections in Bucharest:
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/r/romania/romania-european-parliament-election-2007.html
Vasile Blaga = PD+PLD
Cristian Diaconescu = PSD
Daniel Fuciu = PNG
Cozmin Gusa = PIN
Ludovic Orban = PNL
Sorin Oprescu = independent
Aurelian Pavelescu = PNTCD
Codrin Stefanescu = PC

There will be a first round of voting on June 1, 2008, but it is very likely the second round on June 15, 2008, will be held. If possible, the question could be temporarily be suspended on Sat 31st May 1:59pm PST.
posted 20 weeks ago

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