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Who will be the runner-up on American Idol this year?

Settled as David Archuleta

As of today, there are 9 left to compete. One will go tonight and others will go in the next few weeks. Many are picking their winners, but who will get the 'famed' title as runner-up. Quite often the runner-up or one of the other 'losers' become more successful than the winners. So who will go home in tears on that final night?

Set to close in advance of the final few shows, so get your guessing caps on!
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

David Archuleta
42%
David Cook
32%
Michael Johns
4%
Jason Castro
6%
Carly Smithson
3%
Brooke White
5%
Shyesha Mercado
8%
Ramiele Malubay
0%
Kristy Lee Cook
0%
Activity: H$6,211
Settled as David Archuleta on Thu 22nd May 1:03am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 30th Apr 4:45pm PDT

Settlement date: Thu 22nd May 1:03am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Apr 4:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: David Archuleta: 17%, David Cook: 19%, Michael Johns: 19%, Jason Castro: 10%, Carly Smithson: 19%, Brooke White: 10%, Shyesha Mercado: 2%, Ramiele Malubay: 2%, Kristy Lee Cook: 2%

Action history:

Created Wed 2nd Apr 10:02am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 30th Apr 4:45pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 7:19pm PDT by jake: David Archuleta is runner up.
Settled as 'David Archuleta' Thu 22nd May 1:03am PDT by tisha[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (99)

99 predictions

18 weeks ago
castlenak predicted David Archuleta (H$200 at 40%)
18 weeks ago
ampersand predicted David Archuleta (H$50 at 38%)
18 weeks ago
ampersand predicted David Archuleta (H$50 at 37%)
18 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted David Cook (H$20 at 34%)
18 weeks ago
rgsmith321 predicted David Archuleta (H$20 at 36%)
more

Comments (2)

Hi Bear. I think it's really funny to see Michael Johns sitting at 9% since he has been voted off already. I couldn't imagine a loosing slot in your DJIA questions sitting at 9% for 5 days. Keep up the good work.
posted 20 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
Maybe someone dreams of his making a return......
posted 19 weeks ago

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