stephen 
Who will drop out of the 2008 democratic race first? Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
Settled
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Hillary Clinton |
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Barack Obama |
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No one drops out |
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Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. No one drops out will be the option used to settle if the race goes to the convention. The Dem. race is liking playing chicken down a busy highway right now
Suspend date: None
Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 12:48pm PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Jun 12:48pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Hillary Clinton: 50%, Barack Obama: 25%, No one drops out: 25%
Action history:
stephen 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: No one drops out will be the option used to settle if the race goes to the convention. The Dem. race is liking playing chicken down a busy highway right now
ryanj 
destry![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Suspended pending settlement ryanj: Settling based on 99.9% rule
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. No one drops out will be the option used to settle if the race goes to the convention. The Dem. race is liking playing chicken down a busy highway right now ... read all
Recent predictions
cjg999 predicted No one drops out (H$2)stephen predicted Hillary Clinton (H$3,268)onedave predicted No one drops out (H$20)cjg999 predicted No one drops out (H$1)epicur predicted No one drops out (H$20)landerson predicted Hillary Clinton (H$50)
rbrog77 predicted Hillary Clinton (H$322)
aland predicted Hillary Clinton (H$20)
jenniandboys predicted Hillary Clinton (H$1,000)
triathematician predicted Hillary Clinton (H$1,000)New to Hubdub?
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New in Politics » US Election 2008
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor.
or is that a function of my eyeglasses?
is there a way to capture the entire history to examine the patterns of this prediction market for further analysis?
you mean the goal is Not to try and make pretty patterns? maybe that's why i not got big $h
Looks like 2 human profiles facing each other.
I am of the impression one the goals is to try and make distinctive compelling picto-graphs.
This one here is a keeper.
Cultural rorschach perhaps.
thats how the question was intended to be
i put over 5000 hubdub dollars on no one drops out
thats now worth about 500 hd dollars
and im thinking hillary might drop out soon unless shes a stubborn idiot
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