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Who will win the By-election in Vancouver Quadra on March 17?

Settled as Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada)

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/british-columbia/story/2008/03/17/bc-byelection.html

Predictions made after 23.59 ET on Sunday night will be voided.

Background:

The riding of Vancouver-Quadra in British Columbia, Canada is having a by-election on March 17.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Try the CBC.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Rebecca Coad (New Democratic Party)
4%
Dan Grice (Green Party of Canada)
18%
Deborah Meredith (Conservative Party of Canada)
10%
Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada)
68%
Other
0%
Activity: H$5,628
Settled as Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) on Tue 18th Mar 1:44pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 19th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 18th Mar 1:44pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 16th Mar 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Rebecca Coad (New Democratic Party): 10%, Dan Grice (Green Party of Canada): 10%, Deborah Meredith (Conservative Party of Canada): 39%, Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada): 40%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 13th Feb 12:15pm PST by ratel
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:08pm PST by tomg[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 18th Mar 1:16pm PDT by meanderingsearcher: uummm....the election was over yesterday
Settled as 'Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada)' Tue 18th Mar 1:44pm PDT by lesley[Admin]: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/british-columbia/story/2008/03/17/bc-byelection.html

Predictions made after 23.59 ET on Sunday night will be voided.

Suspend date: Wed 19th Mar 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 18th Mar 1:44pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 16th Mar 9:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

37 weeks ago
buckmaster predicted Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) (H$100 at 79%)
37 weeks ago
aland predicted Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) (H$100 at 70%)
37 weeks ago
aland predicted Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) (H$50 at 69%)
37 weeks ago
questmaster predicted Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) (H$50 at 68%)
37 weeks ago
konrad predicted Joyce Murray (Liberal Party of Canada) (H$100 at 80%)
more

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