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Who will win the Maine Republican caucus held the weekend of 2/1?

Settled as Mitt Romney

Overshadowed by Super Duper Tuesday is the Maine Republican caucus, which will see 21 delegates chosen for the party's national convention. Few have visited Maine, with Ron Paul the only candidate to do so this year. Will he fashion a victory, or will it go to Mitt Romney (former governor of Massachusetts), John McCain (who won the primary in New Hampshire), Mike Huckabee, or one of the candidates who is no longer actively seeking the nomination?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.


SETTLEMENT NOTES:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080203/ap_on_el_pr/maine_caucuses_6;_ylt=AllVhgbTXrXJlQ32PNA1Nzth24cA

Surprise win for Romney

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Mitt Romney
8%
John McCain
87%
Mike Huckabee
0%
Ron Paul
5%
Other
0%
Activity: H$17,271
Settled as Mitt Romney on Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7:22pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 1st Feb 2008 12pm PST Settlement date: Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7:22pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Mitt Romney: 40%, John McCain: 40%, Mike Huckabee: 10%, Ron Paul: 8%, Other: 2%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 2008 8:30am PST by mcoen
Settled Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7:22pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 1st Feb 2008 12pm PST Settlement date: Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7:22pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 2nd Feb 2008 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (133)

133 predictions

49 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted Mitt Romney (H$20 at 7%)
49 weeks ago
phillyballs predicted John McCain (H$100 at 88%)
49 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted Ron Paul (H$20 at 5%)
49 weeks ago
jhc360 predicted Ron Paul (H$20 at 5%)
49 weeks ago
solrac84 predicted John McCain (H$50 at 87%)
more

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