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Who will win the US Masters this weekend?

Settled as Other

Will Tiger be able to win his fifth Green Jacket? He's a massive favourite having won 4 tournaments already this season.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Tiger Woods
21%
Ernie Els
0%
Phil Mickelson
0%
Geoff Ogily
0%
Vijay Singh
0%
Retief Goosen
0%
Other
79%
Activity: H$51,428
Settled as Other on Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:33pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 11am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:33pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 2008 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Tiger Woods: 45%, Ernie Els: 8%, Phil Mickelson: 10%, Geoff Ogily: 10%, Vijay Singh: 8%, Retief Goosen: 5%, Other: 14%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Apr 2008 1:57am PDT by rbooth
Suspended Sun 13th Apr 2008 11am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:29pm PDT by orlin: Trevor Immelman - Other

http://www.masters.org/en_US/scores/index.html
Settled as 'Other' Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:33pm PDT by donal

Suspend date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 11am PDT Settlement date: Sun 13th Apr 2008 4:33pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 13th Apr 2008 11am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (259)

259 predictions

38 weeks ago
buckeyetom predicted Other (H$500 at 78%)
38 weeks ago
buckeyetom predicted Tiger Woods (H$100 at 22%)
38 weeks ago
robmar predicted Phil Mickelson (H$10 at 0%)
38 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted Tiger Woods (H$20 at 14%)
38 weeks ago
michaelj predicted Tiger Woods (H$100 at 12%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 bcguelph
"Other" was set far too low (15%). I mean really, this should be flagged!
posted 39 weeks ago
  2 rbooth
Since 2000, Singh, Woods and Mickelson have won it 6 out of 8 times. Perhaps other should have been 25%, but felt Els, Goosen and Ogilvy with a fair bit of Major winning pedigree between them, accounted for around 10%. Sorry if you thought 15% was far too low. Hope you made a killing. And I hope somone else does win.
posted 39 weeks ago
  3 cakie174
that seems fair to me. its never going to me completely accurate and the market will adjust
posted 39 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
Looking at odds sites, these odds were accurate. Tiger was 50+% to win, field was about 10-1 at best. Especially when you take out the players listed.
posted 39 weeks ago
Rain in the forecast....is a shakeup in the works?
posted 39 weeks ago
rbooth,

You did a fine job with the odds my man! Good call and yano what? After Tigers' play on Saturday, it proves your initial odds were correct, he is freakin' amazing golfer and deserves a much higher amount as well as "other" supposedly deserving a higher percentage, I mean come on, WHO is "other" anyway? It could be a clown from Zimbabwe or a juggler from Russia playing for all we know, the field is huge before a tournament gets melded down after each cut, so I think you did fine :-)

lucidstates
posted 38 weeks ago

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